This stock comparison examines three prominent software companies—Adobe (ADBE), Autodesk (ADSK), and Intuit (INTU)—that sit in different corners of the technology landscape yet share common traits: subscription-heavy revenue, entrenched customer bases, and active AI strategies. Adobe anchors creative and digital-marketing software, Autodesk dominates design and engineering tools, and Intuit leads small-business and tax software. Because each stock has experienced notable repricing in recent months, comparing their business models, momentum, and market positioning offers useful context for investors weighing software exposure in a shifting AI environment.
Adobe is the global leader in creative, document, and customer-experience software, with franchises including Creative Cloud, Acrobat, and Experience Cloud. In its most recent quarterly report, revenue reached a record with roughly 13% year-over-year growth, supported by annualized recurring revenue (ARR), the yearly value of subscription contracts, of about $27.5 billion. AI-first ARR exceeded $650 million and grew more than 150% year over year, and the company surpassed one billion monthly active users across its products.
Despite these fundamentals, ADBE has traded well below its 52-week high in recent weeks, as investors weigh a freemium strategy that prioritizes user growth over near-term ARR, plus competitive pressure from AI-native tools. A leadership transition—Chief Executive Officer Shantanu Narayen's announced retirement after a long tenure—adds a transition element to the story. The stock's compressed forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple reflects a market that has not yet fully credited Adobe's AI monetization progress.
Autodesk provides design and engineering software for architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media, anchored by AutoCAD and its Fusion platform. In its latest quarter, revenue rose about 16% year over year, and management raised full-year revenue guidance, citing strength in construction and emerging markets along with momentum in manufacturing software. Non-GAAP operating margin guidance of roughly 39% underscores a disciplined cost structure.
Still, ADSK shares have declined materially over the past year and remain far below prior highs, with the market weighing a transition toward an annual billing model, ongoing sales reorganization, and the integration of the MaintainX acquisition. Autodesk's AI narrative centers on connecting design, construction, and operations data across the asset lifecycle—a differentiated, slower-burning opportunity than consumer-facing AI. This positioning offers a distinct risk-reward profile relative to its peers in this comparison.
Intuit operates TurboTax, QuickBooks, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp, serving small businesses, self-employed individuals, and consumers. Full-year fiscal revenue grew roughly 14%, with QuickBooks Online Accounting expanding about 20% and Credit Karma revenue rising at a mid-teens rate. Profitability remained strong, and the company continued returning capital through buybacks and a growing dividend.
However, INTU has been the weakest performer of the three in relative terms, down sharply from its high. Two developments drove the repricing: slower TurboTax growth tied to price-sensitive do-it-yourself filers, and a 17% workforce reduction announced alongside restructuring charges. Management has framed fiscal 2027 as a "reset year," targeting high-single-to-low-double-digit revenue growth while leaning into higher-value assisted and small-business products. The market's concern is whether AI-enabled competition could erode Intuit's traditional tax moat.
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These three companies compete in different end markets, which shapes their growth drivers and risk profiles. Adobe's scale and creative dominance produce the largest ARR base, but its freemium pivot and CEO transition create near-term visibility questions. Autodesk's construction and manufacturing exposure ties it more directly to capital-spending cycles, yet its annual-billing transition and acquisition integration add execution risk. Intuit offers the broadest consumer and small-business reach but faces the most direct AI-disruption debate around TurboTax.
On valuation, all three have de-rated from prior peaks, but the reasons differ: Adobe is priced for AI skepticism, Autodesk for transition uncertainty, and Intuit for growth deceleration. Sentiment is most compressed for Intuit, while Adobe and Autodesk retain steadier, if still cautious, analyst support. In relative performance terms, none of the three has escaped the broader software repricing, making momentum and catalyst clarity the key differentiators rather than headline growth alone.
Based on observable factors—trend consistency, catalyst clarity, and relative positioning—Tickeron's AI would likely favor Adobe among the three in the current environment. Adobe combines the largest recurring-revenue base, accelerating AI monetization, and a valuation that already embeds substantial pessimism, while its record results provide a steadier fundamental backdrop. Autodesk presents a solid but slower-moving setup, and Intuit carries the most pronounced uncertainty until its reset strategy shows measurable traction. This is a probabilistic assessment of relative strength rather than a definitive prediction, and conditions can shift as new data emerges.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
ADBE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 24 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADBE as a result. In 53 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADBE just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADBE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +4.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in 192 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADBE moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for ADBE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADBE entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.914) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.896). P/E Ratio (14.714) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.157). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.558) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.923) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADSK as a result. In 55 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADSK moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.581) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.896). P/E Ratio (32.458) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.157). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
INTU saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 58 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTU just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where INTU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
INTU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Following a +5.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTU advanced for three days, in 188 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTU moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
INTU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for INTU entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.832) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.896). P/E Ratio (20.774) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.157). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.855) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.108) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
ADBE | ADSK | INTU | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 30 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 69 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 19 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 41 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 89 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 46 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADBE's Valuation (69) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as INTU (69) and is in the same range as ADSK (83). This means that ADBE's stock grew similarly to INTU’s and similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADBE's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as INTU (100) and is in the same range as ADSK (100). This means that ADBE's stock grew similarly to INTU’s and similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADBE's SMR Rating (19) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (19) and is in the same range as INTU (41). This means that ADBE's stock grew similarly to ADSK’s and similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADBE (42) and is in the same range as INTU (44). This means that ADSK's stock grew similarly to ADBE’s and similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
ADBE's P/E Growth Rating (80) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (89) and is in the same range as INTU (93). This means that ADBE's stock grew similarly to ADSK’s and similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
| ADBE | ADSK | INTU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 68% | 26 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 80% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADBE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ADSK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and INTU’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADBE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ADSK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and INTU’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
ADBE (@Packaged Software) experienced а +7.59% price change this week, while ADSK (@Packaged Software) price change was +5.13% , and INTU (@Packaged Software) price fluctuated +5.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.53%.
ADBE is expected to report earnings on Dec 09, 2026.
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
INTU is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADSK has been closely correlated with ADBE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADSK jumps, then ADBE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADSK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | 100% | -1.08% | ||
| ADBE - ADSK | 72% Closely correlated | -2.49% | ||
| BSY - ADSK | 71% Closely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| APPF - ADSK | 68% Closely correlated | -3.09% | ||
| GWRE - ADSK | 67% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| PCOR - ADSK | 67% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
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