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AEE or CNP or DUK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren Corporation (AEE) vs. CenterPoint Energy (CNP) vs. Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEE offers the strongest earnings-growth and dividend-growth profile of the three, supported by a large data-center load pipeline in Missouri.
- CNP is executing a portfolio transformation (divesting its Ohio gas business) while managing elevated regulatory and weather-related risk in Texas.
- DUK is the largest and most diversified of the group, providing defensive scale and a higher dividend yield, though with more moderate growth.
- All three are rate-regulated electric and gas utilities whose relative performance is heavily influenced by interest rates and regulatory decisions.
- Analyst sentiment has recently shifted, with price targets trimmed across the group even as data-center-driven load growth remains a shared tailwind.
Introduction
Investors comparing AEE, CNP, and DUK are essentially evaluating three regulated U.S. electric and gas utilities with distinct regional footprints, growth drivers, and risk profiles. This stock comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors seeking steady dividends, as well as growth-conscious traders monitoring the electrification and data-center buildout reshaping utility demand. Because utilities act partly as interest-rate-sensitive "bond proxies," their relative performance and market positioning also matter to those navigating shifting monetary conditions. The sections below assess each company's recent behavior, business model, and momentum to clarify how these three names stack up in the current environment.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
AEE (Ameren Corporation) is a St. Louis–based holding company serving roughly 2.5 million electric and more than 900,000 natural gas customers across Missouri and Illinois through its rate-regulated subsidiaries. Its earnings are tied closely to approved infrastructure investment, or "rate base," which regulators allow the company to earn a return on.
In recent weeks, AEE has traded in a range that reflects both sector-wide caution and company-specific optimism. The company reaffirmed 2026 earnings guidance of $5.25 to $5.45 per share and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share, extending a track record of more than a decade of consecutive increases. A key catalyst is data-center and hyperscaler demand in its Missouri territory, where the company reports roughly 2.8 gigawatts (GW) of signed service agreements and additional projects in earlier stages. This load growth supports a multi-year capital plan and an expected step-up in long-term earnings growth.
CNP Overview and Recent Performance
CNP (CenterPoint Energy) is the only investor-owned electric and gas utility based in Texas, serving nearly 7 million metered customers across Texas, Indiana, and Minnesota. Its business spans electric transmission and distribution, power generation, and natural gas distribution, with a heavy concentration in the fast-growing Houston region.
Recent market activity has highlighted both execution and uncertainty. CNP completed the $2.62 billion sale of its Ohio natural gas business, advancing a strategy to simplify its portfolio around higher-growth territories. The company has also continued its Greater Houston Resiliency Initiative, installing tens of thousands of storm-resilient poles to harden its coastal grid. However, regulatory and political scrutiny in Texas and Indiana contributed to a summer de-rating, and several analysts trimmed price targets in recent weeks while maintaining mostly neutral-to-buy ratings. Management still targets upper-end earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 7% to 9% through 2030, underpinned by large-load demand in Houston.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
DUK (Duke Energy) is one of the largest utility holding companies in the United States, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, and serving approximately 8.4 million electric and gas customers primarily across the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwest. Its scale and geographic diversity make it a benchmark for the regulated utility sector.
Over recent weeks, DUK has maintained a defensive, relatively low-volatility profile, consistent with its status as a large-cap income name. The company continues to benefit from strong economic development and data-center demand across the Southeast, which supports an extensive multi-year capital program. While its growth rate is generally more moderate than its smaller peers, Duke's broader diversification and larger rate base provide stability and a higher dividend yield. Like the rest of the group, its shares remain sensitive to Treasury yields, which influence how investors discount future regulated cash flows.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The three companies differ most in scale, geographic exposure, and growth mix. DUK is by far the largest, with a market capitalization roughly three times that of either peer, giving it greater diversification but typically more moderate earnings growth. AEE sits in the middle on size but carries the most aggressive near-term growth narrative, driven by an unusually large data-center pipeline relative to its footprint. CNP offers the smallest equity base but a high-growth Houston market, offset by higher weather and regulatory risk.
On valuation, AEE trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple relative to its expected growth, while CNP carries a higher multiple that analysts have recently trimmed. DUK provides the highest dividend yield of the three, appealing to pure income seekers. Risk factors also diverge: CNP faces Gulf Coast storm exposure and Texas regulatory scrutiny, while AEE and DUK depend heavily on constructive rate-case outcomes and timely data-center buildouts. All three share interest-rate sensitivity and a reliance on regulatory approvals to convert capital spending into earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor AEE among the three. Its combination of a visible, multi-gigawatt data-center pipeline, consistent dividend growth, a lower forward valuation relative to expected earnings, and analyst consensus that remains broadly positive provides a comparatively consistent trend profile. DUK offers stability but more modest momentum, while CNP presents strong growth potential that is currently tempered by regulatory and weather-related uncertainty. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting the balance of catalysts and risks rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
AEE in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for AEE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEE as a result. In 48 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEE just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AEE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
AEE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEE advanced for three days, in 155 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AEE moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for AEE moved below the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
AEE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AEE entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.185) is normal, around the industry mean (2.034). P/E Ratio (18.888) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.705). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.457) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.248) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
CNP's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CNP turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CNP as a result. In 45 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
CNP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +2.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNP advanced for three days, in 166 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
The Aroon Indicator for CNP entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.308) is normal, around the industry mean (2.034). P/E Ratio (24.159) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.705). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.855) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.632) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
DUK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
DUK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DUK as a result. In 48 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DUK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DUK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The 10-day moving average for DUK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +1.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DUK advanced for three days, in 168 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DUK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
DUK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DUK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DUK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.812) is normal, around the industry mean (2.034). P/E Ratio (18.766) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.705). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.112) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AEE | CNP | DUK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 40 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 16 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 71 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 48 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 44 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CNP (72) and is in the same range as AEE (78). This means that DUK's stock grew similarly to CNP’s and similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
CNP's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (21) and is in the same range as AEE (28). This means that CNP's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (70) and is in the same range as CNP (71). This means that AEE's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to CNP’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (48) and is in the same range as CNP (48). This means that DUK's stock grew similarly to AEE’s and similarly to CNP’s over the last 12 months.
CNP's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (54) and is in the same range as AEE (63). This means that CNP's stock grew similarly to DUK’s and similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | CNP | DUK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 30% | 2 days ago 31% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 50% | 11 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 17 days ago 42% | 24 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | N/A | 2 days ago 30% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 20% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CNP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and DUK’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CNP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and DUK’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CNP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +1.85% price change this week, while CNP (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.28% , and DUK (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated +2.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
CNP is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
DUK is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.31% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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CNP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNP has been closely correlated with AEE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNP jumps, then AEE could also see price increases.
DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.