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ASML or CAMT or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Camtek (CAMT) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads in EUV lithography for advanced chips but faces export curbs to China, with YTD gains around 40% and a trailing P/E of 52.
- CAMT excels in inspection for advanced packaging, posting record revenues tied to AI demand, with YTD returns exceeding 60% but higher volatility.
- TSM dominates foundry services with AI-driven revenue surges over 35% YoY, offering the lowest P/E at 34 and steady YTD growth near 35%.
- All three benefit from AI semiconductor boom, but TSM shows broadest market exposure and consistent earnings beats.
- Recent momentum favors TSM and CAMT amid packaging and HPC demand, while ASML navigates geopolitical risks.
- Valuations reflect growth: TSM at 34x earnings appears most balanced relative to 20%+ projected growth.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, CAMT, and TSM, key players in the semiconductor supply chain critical for AI and high-performance computing. ASML supplies lithography equipment, CAMT provides metrology and inspection tools, and TSM leads in contract manufacturing. Traders seeking exposure to AI-driven growth and investors tracking relative performance in this volatile sector will find value in their contrasting risk profiles, valuations, and momentum. Recent market activity highlights AI demand as a common tailwind amid geopolitical tensions.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., based in the Netherlands, dominates extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems essential for producing advanced semiconductors at nodes below 7nm. These machines enable chipmakers to etch intricate patterns on wafers, powering AI accelerators and logic chips. In recent market activity, ASML's shares have shown resilience with YTD gains around 40%, outperforming broader indices, driven by robust demand for Low-NA EUV tools amid AI infrastructure buildouts. Sentiment has been influenced by CEO comments affirming Nvidia's stance on older-generation exports to China, while U.S.-led restrictions reduced China's sales share from 36% to 19% in Q1. Despite this, the company raised 2026 guidance, citing supply shortages for advanced nodes. Trailing P/E stands at 52, reflecting premium valuation for its near-monopoly in EUV, with revenue growth projected at 19-20%.
CAMT Overview and Recent Performance
Camtek Ltd. (CAMT), an Israeli firm, specializes in automated optical inspection and metrology equipment for semiconductor wafers, focusing on advanced packaging, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), and heterogeneous integration vital for AI chips. Recent quarters delivered record revenues, with Q4 2025 at $128 million (up 9% YoY) and full-year $496 million (16% growth), fueled by HPC and AI applications. Shares have surged over 60% YTD, reflecting strong demand for systems like Eagle G5 and Hawk in micro-bump inspection, though Q1 2026 saw a 16% drop amid broader sector pullbacks. Performance benefits from AI packaging boom, with gross margins above 50% and operating cash flow robust. However, elevated P/E signals sensitivity to execution risks in a cyclical market.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), the world's largest pure-play foundry, fabricates chips for clients like Nvidia and Apple using processes from 3nm to mature nodes. Recent performance shines with Q1 2026 revenue up 35% YoY to $35.6 billion and profit surging 58%, marking record highs on AI demand. April revenue grew 18% YoY, with YTD stock gains near 35%. High-performance computing now drives over 50% of sales, supported by advanced nodes (74% of wafer revenue). Shares trade at a trailing P/E of 34, more attractive than peers, bolstered by raised full-year guidance of 30%+ growth and capex hikes for capacity. Geopolitical risks persist, but AI backlog provides visibility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, ASML holds a monopoly on EUV equipment (critical for sub-7nm), CAMT niches in packaging metrology (growing 11% CAGR), and TSM leads foundries with 60% market share. Growth drivers align on AI: TSM sees 35% revenue jumps from 3nm/HPC, CAMT benefits from HBM inspection, while ASML eyes High-NA EUV ramp. Recent momentum favors TSM (11% monthly) over ASML's steadier gains. Risks differ: ASML and TSM face China export curbs (19-33% sales exposure), CAMT cyclicality. All expose to semiconductors, but TSM diversifies across nodes. Valuation sensitivity highest for ASML (P/E 52), TSM cheapest at 34x with superior scale. Sentiment tilts positive on AI catalysts, tempered by trade tensions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM due to trend consistency in AI revenue (35%+ YoY), earnings stability (58% profit growth), and relative positioning with lower P/E versus peers amid capacity expansions. While ASML and CAMT offer niche strengths, TSM's scale and backlog suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, based on observable momentum and catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileCAMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- CAMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CAMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CAMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +0.45% price change this week, while CAMT (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -9.01% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -6.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -5.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +104.94%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -14.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +76.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
CAMT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-5.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-14.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | CAMT | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 670B | 7.69B | 1.85T |
| EBITDA | 11.9B | 48.6M | 2.99T |
| Gain YTD | 62.880 | 56.961 | 35.259 |
| P/E Ratio | 58.20 | 172.08 | 35.12 |
| Revenue | 33.7B | 499M | 4.1T |
| Total Cash | 8.38B | 670M | 3.45T |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 488M | 1.09T |
ASML | CAMT | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 60 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 29 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 80 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 41 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 2 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (62) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as CAMT (83) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as ASML (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to CAMT’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as CAMT (29) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to CAMT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (26) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CAMT (80) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than CAMT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (38) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as CAMT (41) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to CAMT’s over the last 12 months.
CAMT's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (11) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TSM (21) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that CAMT's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | CAMT | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 17 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 72% | 24 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 7 days ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% |
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CAMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAMT has been closely correlated with NVMI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAMT jumps, then NVMI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMT | 100% | -0.73% | ||
| NVMI - CAMT | 75% Closely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| KLAC - CAMT | 73% Closely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| AMAT - CAMT | 73% Closely correlated | -0.44% | ||
| LRCX - CAMT | 69% Closely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| ONTO - CAMT | 69% Closely correlated | -1.72% | ||
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