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BKH or IDA or NEE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Black Hills Corporation (BKH) vs. IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) vs. NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BKH has shown resilience amid its pending all-stock merger with NorthWestern Energy and data center-driven load growth in Wyoming, with recent quarterly results reaffirming full-year adjusted EPS guidance.
- IDA recently raised its quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share and lifted the lower end of its 2026 EPS outlook following a solid Q2 beat, reflecting steady regulated electric utility operations.
- NEE continues to advance its proposed combination with Dominion Energy while securing significant financing for nuclear restarts and capitalizing on renewables and data center demand.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has featured modest declines across the trio amid broader utilities sector pressures, with BKH trading near $70, IDA near $132, and NEE near $81 as of mid-to-late September 2026.
- Valuation sensitivity varies, with NEE offering scale and growth catalysts offset by higher complexity, while BKH and IDA provide more focused regional exposure and consistent dividend histories.
- Sector exposure centers on regulated utilities, where interest rate environments and load growth from data centers remain key sentiment drivers.
Introduction
Black Hills Corporation (BKH), IDACORP, Inc. (IDA), and NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) represent distinct profiles within the utilities sector, spanning regulated gas and electric operations with varying degrees of renewable exposure and merger activity. This comparison examines their recent price behavior, earnings updates, and strategic developments to assist investors and traders evaluating relative positioning in a market environment shaped by energy demand growth and regulatory considerations. Portfolio managers focused on dividend stability, sector rotation, or merger arbitrage may find the analysis particularly relevant for assessing trade-offs in risk, yield, and growth potential.
BKH Overview and Recent Performance
Black Hills Corporation operates as a regulated utility providing electric and natural gas services across the Midwest and Rocky Mountain regions. In recent market activity, shares have traded in a range near $70, reflecting a 1-month decline of approximately 3.7% amid sector-wide pressures. Key influences include the pending all-stock merger with NorthWestern Energy, expected to close by year-end 2026 subject to regulatory approvals, and strong large-load demand from data centers in Wyoming that drove record peak loads. Second-quarter results showed higher net income and reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45, supporting sentiment despite broader volatility. The company maintains a long track record of dividend increases, with the most recent quarterly payout at $0.703 per share.
IDA Overview and Recent Performance
IDACORP, Inc. functions as a holding company for Idaho Power, delivering regulated electric utility services primarily in Idaho and Oregon. Recent weeks have seen shares hover near $132, with a modest pullback of about 1.3% on a single day amid market movements. Performance has been supported by consistent earnings delivery, including a Q2 EPS beat that prompted an upward revision to the lower end of 2026 full-year guidance at $6.30 to $6.45. On September 21, 2026, the board approved an increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share, extending a streak of annual raises since 2011. Analyst sentiment has remained constructive, with several firms maintaining overweight or equal-weight ratings and elevated price targets, reflecting confidence in the stable regulated business model.
NEE Overview and Recent Performance
NextEra Energy, Inc. is a leading clean energy company with significant regulated electric utility operations through Florida Power & Light alongside a large renewables portfolio. Shares have fluctuated recently around the $81 level, showing resilience relative to some peers despite ongoing merger developments. Progress on the proposed all-stock combination with Dominion Energy, which would create a major platform serving millions of customers, has included expanded state benefits packages and remains on track for a potential 2027 close. Additional catalysts include a $1.9 billion Department of Energy loan guarantee to restart a nuclear facility in Iowa. Second-quarter results featured an EPS beat, with management reiterating 2026 adjusted EPS guidance while highlighting capital expenditures and backlog growth in renewables.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ notably: BKH emphasizes regulated gas and electric in a multi-state footprint with merger-driven scale expansion, IDA focuses on a concentrated electric utility with predictable rate-base growth, and NEE combines large-scale regulated operations with extensive renewables and clean-energy development. Growth drivers include data center demand for all three, though NEE benefits from broader renewables exposure and nuclear restarts, while BKH highlights Wyoming-specific load increases. Recent momentum has been tempered by sector headwinds, yet each has posted earnings beats or guidance affirmations. Risk factors encompass regulatory approval timelines for mergers at BKH and NEE, interest-rate sensitivity across valuations, and execution on capital plans. IDA offers relatively lower beta and more contained geographic exposure. Valuation sensitivity appears higher for NEE given its premium positioning and growth narrative, whereas BKH and IDA trade at more moderate multiples with stronger emphasis on dividend yields. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism tied to energy transition themes and load growth, balanced against macroeconomic uncertainties.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in earnings delivery, stability from regulated operations, and positioning around catalysts like mergers and load growth, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to NEE for its combination of scale, diversified clean-energy exposure, and visible project pipeline, though outcomes remain dependent on regulatory and market conditions. BKH and IDA present compelling alternatives for investors prioritizing regional focus and dividend consistency. This assessment draws from recent performance patterns and does not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
BKH | IDA | NEE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 74 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 38 Fair valued | 56 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 31 | 96 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 73 | 51 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 58 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 46 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BKH's Valuation (38) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (41) and is in the same range as IDA (56). This means that BKH's stock grew similarly to NEE’s and similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as BKH (54) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (96). This means that IDA's stock grew similarly to BKH’s and somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
NEE's SMR Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (73) and is in the same range as BKH (76). This means that NEE's stock grew similarly to IDA’s and similarly to BKH’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (58) and is in the same range as NEE (61). This means that BKH's stock grew similarly to IDA’s and similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (46) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (83). This means that BKH's stock grew similarly to IDA’s and somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
| BKH | IDA | NEE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 7 days ago 51% | 7 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 51% | 15 days ago 43% | 15 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while IDA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NEE’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- BKH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- IDA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NEE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and NEE’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NEE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
BKH (@Gas Distributors) experienced а +8.22% price change this week, while IDA (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.00% , and NEE (@Electric Utilities) price fluctuated +1.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was +2.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +2.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKH is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
IDA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NEE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (+2.70% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
@Electric Utilities (+2.37% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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BKH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKH has been closely correlated with D. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BKH jumps, then D could also see price increases.