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BMA or GGAL or SUPV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Macro (BMA) vs. Grupo Financiero Galicia (GGAL) vs. Grupo Supervielle (SUPV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BMA, GGAL, and SUPV are leading Argentine banking groups whose performance reflects domestic economic conditions, interest rate trends, and regulatory developments.
- Recent market activity shows BMA maintaining relatively stable trading ranges with notable dividend distributions approved in prior months, while GGAL reported a year-over-year profit decline in Q1 2026 amid higher provisions.
- SUPV posted an earnings beat in its latest quarter and outlined 25-30% loan growth targets for 2026, contrasting with more moderate guidance from peers.
- All three stocks have experienced 1-year price declines amid broader market volatility, with analyst price targets generally indicating potential upside from current levels.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between dividend yield focus at BMA, scale advantages at GGAL, and growth-oriented positioning at SUPV.
- Sector exposure to Argentina’s banking environment creates shared sensitivities to inflation, currency movements, and credit demand.
Introduction
Investors and traders evaluating Argentine financial institutions often compare BMA (Banco Macro S.A.), GGAL (Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.), and SUPV (Grupo Supervielle S.A.) due to their significant market positions and exposure to the same macroeconomic drivers. These stocks appeal to those seeking diversification within emerging-market banking, where factors such as loan growth, asset quality, and regulatory approvals influence outcomes. The comparison is particularly relevant for participants monitoring relative momentum, valuation metrics, and sector-specific catalysts in a volatile local environment.
BMA Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Macro S.A. operates as a major private-sector bank in Argentina with a focus on retail and corporate banking services. In recent weeks, the stock has traded with moderate volatility, reflecting broader market movements and company-specific announcements around dividend distributions. Shareholder approvals and central bank nods for substantial dividend payments have supported sentiment, alongside reports of capital strength and deposit growth from prior earnings periods. Performance has been influenced by analyst upgrades and ongoing governance updates, contributing to a relatively resilient profile compared with some sector peers.
GGAL Overview and Recent Performance
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. serves as a diversified financial holding with core operations in banking, asset management, and insurance. Recent market activity includes the release of Q1 2026 results showing a significant year-over-year net income decline, primarily due to elevated loan-loss provisions and softer intermediation volumes. The company maintained solid market shares in loans and deposits while highlighting cost efficiencies from integration efforts. Stock movement has mirrored these developments, with trading ranges reflecting investor digestion of the earnings details and forward guidance on loan expansion.
SUPV Overview and Recent Performance
Grupo Supervielle S.A. provides banking and financial services with an emphasis on personal and corporate segments. In recent periods, the stock has shown responsiveness to quarterly results, including an earnings beat in Q1 2026 that exceeded expectations. Management outlined ambitious 2026 loan growth targets in the 25-30% range alongside margin recovery efforts. Performance has been shaped by these catalysts and periodic governance updates, resulting in price fluctuations aligned with broader Argentine financial sector trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ in scale and focus: BMA emphasizes regional presence and dividend returns, GGAL benefits from broader diversification across financial services, and SUPV targets higher growth through loan expansion. Recent momentum shows BMA supported by recurring dividend news, while GGAL faces pressure from profit compression and SUPV gains from earnings surprises. Risk factors include shared exposure to Argentine economic variables, with valuation sensitivity higher for growth-oriented names. Market sentiment remains mixed, favoring stability at larger players versus upside potential at smaller ones.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency around dividend catalysts, capital positioning, and relative analyst support, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to BMA for its demonstrated resilience in recent market activity. This assessment remains conditional on evolving economic indicators and does not constitute investment guidance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BMA’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileGGAL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and SUPV’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BMA’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- GGAL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SUPV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BMA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GGAL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and SUPV’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BMA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GGAL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SUPV’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BMA (@Regional Banks) experienced а -2.85% price change this week, while GGAL (@Regional Banks) price change was -5.68% , and SUPV (@Regional Banks) price fluctuated -8.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.60%.
Reported Earning Dates
BMA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
GGAL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
SUPV is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+1.31% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BMA | GGAL | SUPV | |
| Capitalization | 6.38B | 8.77B | 930M |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Gain YTD | 7.743 | -1.015 | -14.382 |
| P/E Ratio | 24.62 | 149.40 | 37.62 |
| Revenue | 4.71T | 8.62T | 1.15T |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 1.48T | N/A | 119B |
BMA | GGAL | SUPV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 40 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 89 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 2 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 42 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 1 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BMA's Valuation (21) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SUPV (79) in the Major Banks industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for GGAL (89) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew somewhat faster than SUPV’s and significantly faster than GGAL’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as GGAL (2) in the Regional Banks industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SUPV (65) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to GGAL’s and somewhat faster than SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's SMR Rating (1) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as GGAL (1) in the Regional Banks industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (1) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to GGAL’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as GGAL (42) in the Regional Banks industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (44) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to GGAL’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
GGAL's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BMA (7) in the Regional Banks industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (7) in the Major Banks industry. This means that GGAL's stock grew similarly to BMA’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
| BMA | GGAL | SUPV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 83% | 7 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
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BMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BMA has been closely correlated with GGAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BMA jumps, then GGAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BMA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMA | 100% | -3.36% | ||
| GGAL - BMA | 95% Closely correlated | -3.71% | ||
| BBAR - BMA | 94% Closely correlated | -2.86% | ||
| SUPV - BMA | 93% Closely correlated | -1.94% | ||
| BSAC - BMA | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| BCH - BMA | 37% Loosely correlated | -2.20% | ||
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SUPV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SUPV has been closely correlated with BBAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SUPV jumps, then BBAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SUPV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPV | 100% | -1.94% | ||
| BBAR - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -2.86% | ||
| GGAL - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -3.71% | ||
| BMA - SUPV | 92% Closely correlated | -3.36% | ||
| CIB - SUPV | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.38% | ||
| BSAC - SUPV | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
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