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FIZZ or KDP or PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) vs. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) vs. PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) experienced volatility in recent weeks, including a special dividend announcement that drove a temporary rally followed by pullbacks amid softer demand trends.
- Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) maintained a steadier profile, supported by 2026 guidance projecting low-double-digit adjusted EPS growth and integration benefits from recent acquisitions.
- PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) faced near-term pressure from North American consumer weakness, with its Q2 2026 earnings missing estimates and the stock trading near 52-week lows.
- Relative performance shows FIZZ with stronger year-to-date returns compared to PEP's modest or flat results, while KDP benefits from diversified beverage exposure including coffee.
- Valuation sensitivity varies, with PEP offering an elevated dividend yield amid broader sector caution, whereas FIZZ trades at a discount reflecting growth concerns.
- Market sentiment reflects caution across the group due to macroeconomic headwinds on consumer spending, with international demand providing some offset for larger players.
Introduction
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), and PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) represent distinct segments within the consumer staples beverage industry. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and positioning amid evolving consumer trends and macroeconomic conditions. Investors and traders focused on defensive sectors, dividend strategies, or volatility plays may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities or identifying relative value in a market environment characterized by selective demand pressures.
FIZZ Overview and Recent Performance
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) operates primarily in the sparkling water and flavored beverage space, with brands such as LaCroix. In recent market activity, the stock displayed mixed momentum, including a notable rally following a special cash dividend declaration in early July that lifted shares significantly before subsequent retracement. Year-to-date returns reached approximately 9.76% as of late July, outpacing the broader market in some periods, though longer-term performance lagged with concerns over volume trends and margin pressures influencing analyst sentiment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) produces a wide range of beverages, including carbonated soft drinks like Dr Pepper and coffee systems via Keurig. Recent market activity has been relatively stable, underpinned by earlier 2026 guidance for net sales in the $25.9–$26.4 billion range and low-double-digit adjusted EPS growth, incorporating contributions from the JDE Peet’s acquisition. The company released its State of Beverages 2026 Trend Report in May, highlighting shifting consumer preferences, which has supported a measured outlook without the sharp swings seen in peers.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) offers a diversified portfolio of beverages and snacks, including Pepsi, Gatorade, and Frito-Lay products. Recent market activity showed underperformance, with shares declining following Q2 2026 earnings that missed estimates despite revenue beats driven by international strength. The stock traded near 52-week lows around $134–$140 levels in late July, reflecting North American volume and consumer spending challenges, while year-to-date returns remained modest at under 1% compared to the S&P 500.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ markedly: National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) focuses on niche sparkling beverages with limited diversification, while Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) balances soft drinks and at-home coffee systems for steadier cash flows. PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) combines beverages with snacks, offering broader exposure but greater sensitivity to U.S. consumer discretionary shifts. Recent momentum favored FIZZ on dividend-related catalysts, contrasted with PEP’s earnings-driven weakness and KDP’s guidance-supported stability. Risk factors include volume declines for FIZZ, integration execution for KDP, and macroeconomic pressures on PEP. Sector exposure centers on beverages, with PEP and KDP showing more international resilience. Valuation sensitivity appears higher for PEP due to its dividend appeal amid yield-seeking flows, while FIZZ trades at a discount reflecting growth concerns.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic edge to Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) for its steadier guidance-backed profile and diversified revenue streams, though outcomes remain subject to broader market variables and execution on acquisitions.
Disclaimer
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Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FIZZ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKDP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PEP’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FIZZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FIZZ’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KDP’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and PEP’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FIZZ’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KDP’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FIZZ (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +1.55% price change this week, while KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -3.57% , and PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated -0.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -2.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
FIZZ is expected to report earnings on Sep 03, 2026.
KDP is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Oct 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-2.40% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| FIZZ | KDP | PEP | |
| Capitalization | 3.01B | 40.8B | 190B |
| EBITDA | 253M | 4.05B | 18.6B |
| Gain YTD | 11.464 | 9.758 | -1.242 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.39 | 30.31 | 18.22 |
| Revenue | 1.18B | 16.9B | 96.9B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 62.7M | 25.7B | 53.2B |
FIZZ | KDP | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 22 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 80 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 56 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 52 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 55 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PEP's Valuation (16) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (22) and is somewhat better than the same rating for FIZZ (73). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and somewhat faster than FIZZ’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Profit vs Risk Rating (85) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (100) and is in the same range as FIZZ (100). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and similarly to FIZZ’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FIZZ (30) and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (80). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to FIZZ’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
FIZZ's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (56) and is in the same range as PEP (61). This means that FIZZ's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FIZZ (83) and is in the same range as PEP (84). This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to FIZZ’s and similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
| FIZZ | KDP | PEP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 82% | 6 days ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 42% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 11 days ago 53% | 12 days ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 46% | 5 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | N/A | 3 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 35% | 7 days ago 32% |
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FIZZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FIZZ has been loosely correlated with KDP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FIZZ jumps, then KDP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FIZZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIZZ | 100% | +0.53% | ||
| KDP - FIZZ | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| PEP - FIZZ | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.42% | ||
| COKE - FIZZ | 25% Poorly correlated | +2.53% | ||
| CELH - FIZZ | 24% Poorly correlated | +16.83% | ||
| CCEP - FIZZ | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.04% | ||
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | -1.19% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | -4.04% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.04% | ||
| COKE - KDP | 29% Poorly correlated | +2.53% | ||
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PEP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PEP has been loosely correlated with KDP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PEP jumps, then KDP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PEP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEP | 100% | +0.42% | ||
| KDP - PEP | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| CCEP - PEP | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| FIZZ - PEP | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.53% | ||
| MNST - PEP | 26% Poorly correlated | -4.04% | ||
| COKE - PEP | 25% Poorly correlated | +2.53% | ||
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