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FIZZ vs KDP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) vs. Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) focuses on sparkling waters like LaCroix and energy drinks, while Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) provides diversified beverages including coffee pods and sodas.
- FIZZ has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) returns of 6.21% compared to KDP's 3.77%.
- KDP holds a significantly larger market capitalization of $36 billion versus FIZZ's $3.2 billion, offering greater scale.
- Both stocks trade at comparable price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 17, reflecting similar valuations relative to earnings.
- Analyst sentiment favors KDP with a Strong Buy consensus and average price target of $33.27, implying notable upside from current levels.
- Over three- and five-year periods, FIZZ has shown superior total returns at 29.53% and 28.40%, respectively, versus KDP's 18.68% and 16.63%.
Introduction
In the competitive non-alcoholic beverages sector, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) and Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) represent distinct approaches to capturing consumer demand for refreshing drinks. FIZZ emphasizes health-oriented sparkling waters, while KDP leverages a vast portfolio spanning sodas, juices, and coffee systems. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders navigating consumer staples amid economic uncertainty, seeking insights into relative performance, growth potential, and market positioning in recent market activity. By examining key metrics and trends, readers can better assess which stock aligns with their strategy for stability or momentum.
FIZZ Overview and Recent Performance
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ), headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, develops and markets sparkling waters under brands like LaCroix, energy drinks via Rip It, and carbonated soft drinks such as Shasta and Faygo. The company distributes through retail, convenience, and food-service channels across the U.S. and Canada.
In recent weeks, FIZZ shares have traded around $34, within a 52-week range of $31.21 to $47.89, reflecting consolidation after earlier peaks. Year-to-date gains stand at 6.21%, supported by fiscal 2025 revenue growth of 0.81% to $1.20 billion. However, sentiment has been tempered by a Q3 earnings report in March showing EPS of $0.44, slightly missing expectations, alongside a Sell rating from UBS. Broader market activity in consumer defensives and focus on healthy hydration trends have influenced modest stability, with a beta of 0.73 indicating moderate volatility.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), based in Frisco, Texas, manufactures and distributes a wide array of beverages including Dr Pepper, 7UP, Snapple, and Keurig coffee pods, operating through U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International segments. Products reach supermarkets, e-commerce, and vending via owned and partner brands.
Recently, KDP stock has hovered near $26.50, in a 52-week band of $24.88 to $35.94, amid anticipation for Q1 earnings. YTD performance is 3.77%, with full-year 2025 net sales up 8.2% to $16.6 billion. Positive developments include collaborations like Ghost Energy x 7UP, boosting investor interest. Analyst upgrades, such as JP Morgan's Overweight, have supported sentiment, underpinned by a low beta of 0.36 for reduced volatility in choppy markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FIZZ and KDP operate in the non-alcoholic beverages space but differ in business models: FIZZ targets niche healthy options with agile distribution, while KDP benefits from scale in sodas and coffee innovation. Growth drivers for FIZZ include sparkling water demand, contrasting KDP's volume from partnerships and international expansion. Recent momentum favors FIZZ on YTD basis, but KDP edges in analyst upside. Risk factors highlight KDP's lower beta for stability versus FIZZ's higher growth variability. Sector exposure remains consumer staples, with KDP showing stronger sentiment from earnings momentum.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely lean toward KDP in the current environment, given its lower beta for stability, Strong Buy analyst consensus with significant target upside, and catalysts like upcoming Q1 earnings and brand collaborations. While FIZZ offers superior recent returns and longer-term outperformance, KDP's scale and defensive positioning provide a probabilistic edge amid market uncertainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FIZZ is a Buy and KDP is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FIZZ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKDP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FIZZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FIZZ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KDP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FIZZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KDP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FIZZ (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +2.75% price change this week, while KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -2.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +1.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1402.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
FIZZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 01, 2026.
KDP is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+1.18% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| FIZZ | KDP | FIZZ / KDP | |
| Capitalization | 3.29B | 38.8B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 260M | 4.05B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 10.254 | 3.571 | 287% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.58 | 21.13 | 83% |
| Revenue | 1.2B | 16.9B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 314M | 898M | 35% |
| Total Debt | 62.7M | 25.7B | 0% |
FIZZ | KDP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 46 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (29) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FIZZ (94). This means that KDP’s stock grew somewhat faster than FIZZ’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FIZZ (100). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to FIZZ’s over the last 12 months.
FIZZ's SMR Rating (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (77). This means that FIZZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FIZZ (59). This means that KDP’s stock grew similarly to FIZZ’s over the last 12 months.
FIZZ's P/E Growth Rating (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (84). This means that FIZZ’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| FIZZ | KDP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 43% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 8 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 62% | 1 day ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 1 day ago 38% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | -0.14% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| KO - KDP | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | -1.59% | ||
| COKE - KDP | 28% Poorly correlated | -15.63% | ||
More | ||||