LUNR
Price
$20.95
Change
-$1.04 (-4.73%)
Updated
Jun 23 closing price
Capitalization
3.36B
55 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
RDW
Price
$12.22
Change
-$0.80 (-6.14%)
Updated
Jun 23 closing price
Capitalization
2.43B
49 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
RKLB
Price
$95.12
Change
-$5.17 (-5.16%)
Updated
Jun 23 closing price
Capitalization
59.43B
43 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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LUNR or RDW or RKLB

LUNR vs RDW vs RKLB Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three

Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intuitive Machines (LUNR) vs. Redwire Corporation (RDW) vs. Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • RKLB leads with explosive recent momentum, posting a 34% single-day surge after record Q1 revenue of $200 million and a $2.2 billion backlog, far outpacing peers in scale and growth visibility.
  • LUNR shows strong YTD gains around 78%, bolstered by a $800 million Lanteris acquisition and $180 million NASA contract, targeting $900 million-$1 billion revenue in 2026.
  • RDW achieved record Q1 backlog of $498 million with gross margins doubling to 26.6%, reflecting defense contract wins amid 46% YTD returns.
  • All three benefit from space sector tailwinds like NASA Artemis and defense spending, but RKLB commands the highest valuation at elevated P/S multiples due to its launch cadence.
  • Recent volatility highlights trade-offs: LUNR and RDW offer relative value, while RKLB exhibits superior trend consistency.

Introduction

Intuitive Machines (LUNR), Redwire Corporation (RDW), and Rocket Lab (RKLB) operate in the burgeoning space infrastructure sector, focusing on lunar missions, components, and launch services respectively. This comparison analyzes their recent performance amid rising demand from NASA contracts, defense initiatives, and commercial space ventures. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term growth in aerospace will find value in understanding their relative positioning, backlogs, and market sentiment shifts in the current environment.

LUNR Overview and Recent Performance

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) specializes in lunar landers, payload delivery, and space infrastructure, supporting NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS). In recent market activity, the stock has delivered robust YTD returns of approximately 78%, trading around $29 with a market cap near $4.6 billion. Key drivers include a transformative $800 million acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems, expanding into national security and commercial markets, and a $180.4 million NASA contract for lunar South Pole payloads. The company reports a $943 million backlog and guides for $900 million to $1 billion in 2026 revenue, reflecting vertical integration gains. Sentiment has strengthened on these catalysts, though volatility persists from execution risks in high-profile missions.

RDW Overview and Recent Performance

Redwire Corporation (RDW) provides space infrastructure like sensors, avionics, and autonomous systems for government and commercial clients. Recent weeks have seen YTD gains of 46%, with shares around $11 and a $2.2 billion market cap. Q1 2026 results highlighted revenue of $97 million (up 58% YoY), record contracted backlog of $498 million (book-to-bill 1.92), and adjusted gross margins expanding to 26.6% from 14.7%. Wins include a $1.8 billion Andromeda IDIQ for spacecraft and Marine Corps orders. Performance reflects operational improvements and defense demand, though profitability challenges linger, influencing measured sentiment.

RKLB Overview and Recent Performance

Rocket Lab (RKLB) offers end-to-end launch services via Electron rocket and develops the medium-lift Neutron, alongside spacecraft systems. The stock has surged with 51% YTD returns, trading near $105 and a $61 billion market cap, recently up 34% post-earnings. Q1 2026 marked record revenue of $200.35 million (63.5% YoY growth), a $2.2 billion backlog (up 108% YoY), and Q2 guidance of $225-240 million. Catalysts include 31 new Electron/HASTE contracts, five Neutron deals, and a Motiv Space Systems acquisition. Strong execution has boosted sentiment, underscoring reliable cadence amid sector expansion.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

LUNR, RDW, and RKLB share space exposure but diverge in models: LUNR targets lunar niches via CLPS, RDW supplies components with defense tilt (e.g., Andromeda IDIQ), and RKLB vertically integrates launches/space systems. Growth drivers favor RKLB's $2.2B backlog and cadence over RDW's $498M and LUNR's $943M. Recent momentum peaks at RKLB (51% YTD, 357% 1Y), vs. RDW (46% YTD) and LUNR (78% YTD). Risks include mission delays for all, with RKLB facing Neutron capex. Valuation sensitivity is acute for RKLB (high P/S), while peers trade at discounts. Sentiment aligns with catalysts like Artemis for LUNR, defense for RDW, launches for RKLB.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI currently favors RKLB due to unmatched trend consistency, record backlog providing multi-year visibility, frequent catalysts like Neutron progress, and dominant relative positioning in launch services. While LUNR and RDW show promise via acquisitions and margins, RKLB's scale suggests higher probability of outperformance amid space sector expansion.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 24, 2026
Stock price -- (LUNR: $20.95RDW: $12.22RKLB: $95.12)
Brand notoriety: LUNR, RDW and RKLB are all not notable
The three companies represent the Aerospace & Defense industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: LUNR: 61%, RDW: 57%, RKLB: 78%
Market capitalization -- LUNR: $3.36B, RDW: $2.43B, RKLB: $59.43B
$LUNR is valued at $3.36B, while RDW has a market capitalization of $2.43B, and RKLB's market capitalization is $59.43B. The market cap for tickers in this @Aerospace & Defense ranges from $2.06T to $0. The average market capitalization across the @Aerospace & Defense industry is $44.18B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

LUNR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRDW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and RKLB’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).

  • LUNR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • RDW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • RKLB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, LUNR is a better buy in the long-term than RDW and RKLB.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

LUNR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RDW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and RKLB’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • LUNR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
  • RDW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • RKLB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, RKLB is a better buy in the short-term than RDW, which in turn is a better option than LUNR.

Price Growth

LUNR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -10.32% price change this week, while RDW (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -9.48% , and RKLB (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -9.09% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -3.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.63%.

Reported Earning Dates

LUNR is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.

RDW is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.

RKLB is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Aerospace & Defense (-3.55% weekly)

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
RKLB($59.4B) has a higher market cap than LUNR($3.36B) and RDW($2.43B). RDW YTD gains are higher at: 60.789 vs. RKLB (36.353) and LUNR (29.082). LUNR has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): -131.33M vs. RKLB (-140.1M) and RDW (-244.88M). RKLB has more cash in the bank: 1.38B vs. LUNR (232M) and RDW (145M). RDW has less debt than RKLB and LUNR: RDW (132M) vs RKLB (139M) and LUNR (426M). RKLB has higher revenues than RDW and LUNR: RKLB (680M) vs RDW (371M) and LUNR (328M).
LUNRRDWRKLB
Capitalization3.36B2.43B59.4B
EBITDA-131.33M-244.88M-140.1M
Gain YTD29.08260.78936.353
P/E Ratio8.06N/AN/A
Revenue328M371M680M
Total Cash232M145M1.38B
Total Debt426M132M139M
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
LUNRRDWRKLB
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
75%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 28 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 28 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 29 days ago
87%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
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LUNR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
RDW
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
RKLB
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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LUNR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LUNR has been closely correlated with RKLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LUNR jumps, then RKLB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To LUNR
1D Price
Change %
LUNR100%
-4.73%
RKLB - LUNR
71%
Closely correlated
-5.16%
VOYG - LUNR
65%
Loosely correlated
-2.81%
RDW - LUNR
62%
Loosely correlated
-6.14%
ACHR - LUNR
58%
Loosely correlated
-3.31%
PL - LUNR
55%
Loosely correlated
-0.83%
More

RDW and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RDW has been loosely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RDW jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RDW
1D Price
Change %
RDW100%
-6.14%
LUNR - RDW
62%
Loosely correlated
-4.73%
RKLB - RDW
62%
Loosely correlated
-5.16%
VOYG - RDW
58%
Loosely correlated
-2.81%
ACHR - RDW
56%
Loosely correlated
-3.31%
RCAT - RDW
54%
Loosely correlated
-4.14%
More

RKLB and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RKLB has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RKLB jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RKLB
1D Price
Change %
RKLB100%
-5.16%
LUNR - RKLB
71%
Closely correlated
-4.73%
RDW - RKLB
63%
Loosely correlated
-6.14%
VOYG - RKLB
59%
Loosely correlated
-2.81%
PL - RKLB
57%
Loosely correlated
-0.83%
ACHR - RKLB
56%
Loosely correlated
-3.31%
More