AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AGM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026

AGM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 38 cases where AGM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AGM as a result. In 61 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Following a +0.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGM advanced for three days, in 228 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 181 of 271 cases where AGM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AGM moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 73%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 57 cases where AGM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AGM turned negative on August 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.958) is normal, around the industry mean (4.234). P/E Ratio (12.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.404). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.749) is also within normal values, averaging (2.276). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.540) is also within normal values, averaging (5.928).