FNWD Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Dead Cat Bounce on November 22, 2024

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FNWD - Finward Bancorp

Emerged: 11/22/24

Breakout: $30.75

Price: $31

Target price: $29.68

FNWD in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on November 21, 2024

The 10-day moving average for FNWD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FNWD as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FNWD turned negative on December 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FNWD moved below its 50-day moving average on December 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FNWD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FNWD advanced for three days, in of 168 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FNWD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.722) is normal, around the industry mean (1.030). P/E Ratio (12.622) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.662). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.718) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.622) is also within normal values, averaging (2.921).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FNWD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FNWD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.