GPI Group 1 Automotive Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 59 cases where GPI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPI just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where GPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Following a +6.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPI advanced for three days, in 232 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GPI as a result. In 66 of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator for GPI entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.908) is normal, around the industry mean (1.311). P/E Ratio (9.249) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.434). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.273) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GPI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.