ONTO Onto Innovation Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ONTO's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ONTO turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where ONTO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 58 of 68 cases where ONTO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ONTO as a result. In 81 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +10.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ONTO advanced for three days, in 266 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

ONTO moved below its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ONTO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONTO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator for ONTO entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ONTO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.725) is normal, around the industry mean (7.599). P/E Ratio (98.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (153.531). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.745) is also within normal values, averaging (0.796). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.002) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.787) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.