SAP SAP SE Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SAP's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for SAP entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 175 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 110 of the 175 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 63%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SAP moved out of overbought territory on September 01, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SAP as a result. In 53 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SAP turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 49%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 55 cases where SAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The 50-day moving average for SAP moved above the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAP advanced for three days, in 179 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.746) is normal, around the industry mean (51.456). P/E Ratio (27.540) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.610) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.653) is also within normal values, averaging (69.875).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.