81% Chance of Trend Reversal: Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) Price Analysis and Market Overview
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) has recently shown an interesting price movement, as it exceeded its 50-day Moving Average on June 16, 2023. This upward price move could potentially indicate a change in the trend, possibly leading to a sell signal for investors. Analyzing historical data, A.I.dvisor found 54 similar cases, with 44 of them resulting in successful outcomes. Based on this data, the odds of success in a potential trend reversal are estimated to be around 81%.
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Another significant indicator to consider is CRNX's RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator. On May 11, 2023, the 10-day RSI Oscillator for CRNX moved out of the overbought zone. This shift could suggest a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders and investors might want to carefully assess their positions, considering options such as selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor reviewed 27 instances where the RSI Indicator moved out of the overbought zone, and in 25 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This historical analysis provides a compelling 90% probability of a downward price move.
Considering the overall market dynamics in the biotechnology industry, it's important to understand CRNX's position in terms of market capitalization. The average market capitalization in the biotechnology industry stands at 2.17B, with a range spanning from 402 to 363.53B. NONOF holds the highest valuation in this group at 363.53B, while the lowest-valued company is PNEXF at 402.
Examining price movements in the biotechnology industry, the average weekly price growth is 1%, while the average monthly price growth is 12%. Over the span of a quarter, the average price growth reaches 39%. Notable stocks in this industry include GLSH, which experienced the highest price growth at 240%, and NBCO, which suffered the biggest fall at -80%.
Furthermore, considering volume trends in the biotechnology industry, the average weekly volume growth is 243%, indicating significant market activity. On a monthly basis, the average volume growth is 203%, while over a quarter, it reaches 11%. These volume dynamics demonstrate the active nature of the industry, with traders and investors closely monitoring stock movements.
Lastly, assessing the fundamental analysis ratings of CRNX, we find valuable insights. The valuation rating stands at 50, indicating a relatively balanced valuation. The P/E Growth Rating is at 87, reflecting positive growth potential. The Price Growth Rating is at 57, suggesting moderate price growth expectations. Additionally, the SMR Rating is at 93, indicating strong sales, margin, and return characteristics. The Profit Risk Rating stands at 94, highlighting potential risks in the company's profitability. Lastly, the Seasonality Score is at 6, indicating a neutral seasonality trend.
As always, it's important to conduct thorough research, consult with financial advisors, and carefully consider your investment goals before making any decisions based on market analysis. Understanding the various indicators and ratings can provide valuable insights, but market conditions can change rapidly. Stay informed and make investment decisions that align with your risk tolerance and long-term objectives.
CRNX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 11, 2023
CRNX moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 52 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CRNX as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CRNX just turned positive on August 23, 2023. Looking at past instances where CRNX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for CRNX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 12, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for CRNX moved above the 200-day moving average on September 15, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRNX advanced for three days, in of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRNX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CRNX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CRNX entered a downward trend on August 30, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRNX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.645) is normal, around the industry mean (22.663). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (131.427). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.950). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (333.333) is also within normal values, averaging (314.492).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CRNX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a developer of therapeutics for endocrine-related diseases
Industry Biotechnology
CRNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CRNX has been loosely correlated with MDGL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CRNX jumps, then MDGL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CRNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRNX | 100% | -2.62% | ||
| MDGL - CRNX | 51% Loosely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| ICPT - CRNX | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.17% | ||
| CLDX - CRNX | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| ORMP - CRNX | 37% Loosely correlated | -3.83% | ||
| ATRA - CRNX | 36% Loosely correlated | +11.39% | ||
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