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May 07, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal

China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal

Since the global selloff ended in late December/early January, China’s market has moved sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite is up just shy of 25% since January 2 while the S&P 500 is up 17.4% during that same time period. One particular ETF that tracks China’s overall market has performed even better. The Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-shares ETF (Amex: ASHR) is up 33.3% from the close on January 2.

At the post selloff high earlier in April, the ASHR was up over 40% from that January low. The ETF has pulled back a little in recent weeks, but that could be providing investors with an opportunity. The pullback brought ASHR down to the 50-day moving average and to a trend line that connects the lows from January and February. The trend line and the moving average are right on top of one another right now. 

Another thing that happened with the recent pullback is that the daily stochastic readings moved in to oversold territory for the first time since January and the indicators just made a bullish crossover on April 30. 

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on ASHR on April 29 and the prediction showed a confidence level of 86%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful. 

Related Ticker: ASHR

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Momentum Indicator for ASHR turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ASHR saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 71 of the 85 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 84%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASHR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator for ASHR entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ASHR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 65 cases where ASHR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASHR just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where ASHR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +2.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASHR advanced for three days, in 186 of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

ASHR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the performance, before fees and expenses, of the CSI 300 Index. The fund will normally invest at least 80% of its total assets in securities of issuers that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to reflect the price fluctuation and performance of the China A-Share market and is composed of the 300 largest and most liquid stocks in the China A-Share market. It is non-diversified.
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