China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal
Since the global selloff ended in late December/early January, China’s market has moved sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite is up just shy of 25% since January 2 while the S&P 500 is up 17.4% during that same time period. One particular ETF that tracks China’s overall market has performed even better. The Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-shares ETF (Amex: ASHR) is up 33.3% from the close on January 2.
At the post selloff high earlier in April, the ASHR was up over 40% from that January low. The ETF has pulled back a little in recent weeks, but that could be providing investors with an opportunity. The pullback brought ASHR down to the 50-day moving average and to a trend line that connects the lows from January and February. The trend line and the moving average are right on top of one another right now.
Another thing that happened with the recent pullback is that the daily stochastic readings moved in to oversold territory for the first time since January and the indicators just made a bullish crossover on April 30.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on ASHR on April 29 and the prediction showed a confidence level of 86%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful.
ASHR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on April 12, 2024
ASHR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where ASHR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where ASHR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
ASHR moved above its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASHR advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ASHR moved out of overbought territory on March 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASHR as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASHR turned negative on March 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASHR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ASHR entered a downward trend on April 18, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Industry description
General Information
Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk