China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal
Since the global selloff ended in late December/early January, China’s market has moved sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite is up just shy of 25% since January 2 while the S&P 500 is up 17.4% during that same time period. One particular ETF that tracks China’s overall market has performed even better. The Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-shares ETF (Amex: ASHR) is up 33.3% from the close on January 2.
At the post selloff high earlier in April, the ASHR was up over 40% from that January low. The ETF has pulled back a little in recent weeks, but that could be providing investors with an opportunity. The pullback brought ASHR down to the 50-day moving average and to a trend line that connects the lows from January and February. The trend line and the moving average are right on top of one another right now.
Another thing that happened with the recent pullback is that the daily stochastic readings moved in to oversold territory for the first time since January and the indicators just made a bullish crossover on April 30.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on ASHR on April 29 and the prediction showed a confidence level of 86%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful.
ASHR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASHR turned positive on January 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ASHR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ASHR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASHR as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASHR advanced for three days, in of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ASHR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where ASHR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASHR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ASHR entered a downward trend on January 22, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Industry description
General Information
Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk