Can Starbucks continue its upward trend?
Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) has been on an incredible run since last June with the stock jumping almost 72% from the low to the high. The stock bottomed at $46.33 last June and rallied to a high of $79.65 recently. Even in the fourth quarter when most stocks lost tremendous ground, Starbucks was actually up.
The stock did pull back a little in December and the low from then combined with the lows from January have created the lower rail of an upwardly sloping trend channel. The upper rail connects the highs from February, April, and May. The pullback over the last few weeks has brought the stock back down to the lower rail and to the 50-day moving average.
You can also see that the daily stochastic readings just hit oversold territory for the first time since December. The indicators made a bullish crossover on May 30. The last time they did this, the stock rallied from $61 to $71 within two months.
In addition to the possible bullish signs from the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine just generated a bullish signal for Starbucks on May 29. The signal showed a confidence level of 76% while previous signals on the stock have been successful 74% of the time. The signal calls for a move of at least 4% over the next month.
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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
SBUX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SBUX turned positive on August 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where SBUX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBUX as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 187 cases where SBUX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SBUX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (62.711) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.816). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.310) is also within normal values, averaging (1.782). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.233) is also within normal values, averaging (2.444).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants
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