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Jan 22, 2019
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AB InBev (BUD, $73.65) Gets a Rating Upgrade from RBC Capital Markets Analyst

AB InBev (BUD, $73.65) Gets a Rating Upgrade from RBC Capital Markets Analyst

RBC Capital Markets upgraded its recommendation of beverage maker AB InBev, following the latter’s debt refinancing.

Shares of the world’s biggest beer company got upgraded to a top pick rating by RBC analyst James Edwardes Jones. Jones indicated that AB InBev’s debt is under control, especially after the company refinanced parts of it.

After AB InBev borrowed a record $75 billion to buy SABMiller in 2016, the former’s debt level peaked at $100 billion. In January, AB InBev issued $15.5 billion in corporate bonds to pay off some of the debt due for repayment between 2021 and 2024 as well as 2026.  Jones said, "The recent refinancing was sensible," and added, "It has replaced peaks of debt repayment with a smoother schedule which, at current exchange rates, should be doable from free cash flow, while significant appreciation in the US$ would be manageable."

Jones also suggested that AB InBev’s valuation should be gauged by its price-to-earnings ratio (which is relatively less expensive in this case) versus its enterprise value/EBITDA (relatively expensive) ratio. He cited the beer company’s non-cyclicality as a reason.

Last year, AB InBev’s stock prices suffered declines, apparently due to concerns over the company’s decreasing beer sales coupled with its burgeoning debt.  

Related Ticker: BUD

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for BUD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

BUD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 46 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 58%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BUD just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where BUD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

BUD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BUD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 40%.

Following a +2.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BUD advanced for three days, in 184 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 136 of 264 cases where BUD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BUD moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 48%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BUD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

BUD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BUD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.768) is normal, around the industry mean (1.331). BUD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (17.751) as compared to the industry average of (-0.154). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.583) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. BUD's P/S Ratio (2.564) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.539).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 41.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 128.95K to 165.33B. BUD holds the highest valuation in this group at 165.33B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 128.95K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. BUD experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while TAP experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -31%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 81
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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General Information

a holding company whose subsidiaries manufactures and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
Brouwerijplein 1
Phone
+32 16276888
Employees
143000
Web
https://www.ab-inbev.com
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AB InBev (BUD, $73.65) Gets a Rating Upgrade from RBC Capital Markets Analyst