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published in Blogs
May 29, 2019

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF, $18.97) misses Q1 same-store sales growth estimates, announces three more store closures; shares plunge -22%

Abercrombie & Fitch shares took a -22% nosedive in early trading Wednesday, following disappointing same-store sale growth and the company’s plans to close more stores.

The retail company’s same-store sales increased +1% during the fiscal first quarter, missing analysts’ estimates of +1.3%  (based on Refinitiv survey of analysts).

However, the company’s total sales of $734 million exceeded analysts’ expectations of $733.4 million. Revenue was also higher from the year-ago quarter’s $730.9 million.  

Net loss of -29 cents a share for the quarter was narrower than analysts’ anticipated -43 cents loss. The bottom line was also better compared to the year-ago quarter’s loss of -62 cents a share.

Looking ahead, Abercrombie said that it projects second quarter net sales growth to be flat to up +2% - which is a lower range compared to analysts’ estimates of +2.8% growth. For the full year, Abercrombie predicts that net sales growth would range between +2% and +4%.

The company also announced on Wednesday that it will shutter three more flagship stores — a Hollister store in the SoHo neighborhood in New York; an Abercrombie store in Fukuoka, Japan; and an Abercrombie store in Milan, Italy. That would bring  the total number of flagship store closures since 2017 to five.

 

Related Ticker: ANF

Momentum Indicator for ANF turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ANF saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 25, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 72 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

ANF moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ANF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 28, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ANF advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ANF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ANF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ANF entered a downward trend on October 29, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ANF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.549) is normal, around the industry mean (7.750). P/E Ratio (9.808) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.628). ANF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.328). ANF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (0.981) is also within normal values, averaging (3.702).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 17.07B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 178.19B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 178.19B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. ANF experienced the highest price growth at 55%, while JEM experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 28% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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ANF
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ANF showed earnings on November 25, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of apparel and personal care stores

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
6301 Fitch Path
Phone
+1 614 283-6500
Employees
31700
Web
https://corporate.abercrombie.com
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