GET DAILY SIGNALSADP (ADP, $220.80) beats fiscal Q2 earnings expectations
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. posted second-quarter fiscal 2023 earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The human resources management company’s adjusted earnings per share for the quarter grew +19% from the year-ago quarter to $1.96, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% (according to Zacks Equity Research).
Total revenues were up +9.1% year-over-year to $4.4 billion, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by +0.3%.
Employer Services’ revenues rose +8% year-over-year on a reported basis and +10% on an organic constant-currency basis. Pays per control climbed +5% from the year-ago fiscal quarter.
PEO Services’ revenues grew +11% year over year to $1.5 billion. Average worksite employees paid by PEO Services rose +8% year-over-year to 711,000.
Interest on funds held for clients grew +77% to $187 million. Average client funds balance increased 4% to $33.4 billion, while average interest yield on client funds widened 90 basis points to 2.2%.
For fiscal 2023, ADP reaffirmed expectations of revenues growth of 8-9%. Adjusted EPS is still expected to increase 15-17%. Adjusted effective tax rate is estimated to be around 23%.
The company projects Employer Services revenues growth of about 8-9%, higher than prior outlook of 7-8%. It continues to expect PEO Services revenues to grow at 8-9% rate vs. prior estimate of 10-12%.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
ADP in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
ADP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 21 of the 43 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 49%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADP moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 39%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 71 cases where ADP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Aroon Indicator for ADP entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADP as a result. In 45 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADP just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
ADP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +5.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADP advanced for three days, in 159 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.749) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.214). P/E Ratio (26.014) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.232). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.020) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a provider of business outsourcing solutions
Industry PackagedSoftware
Advertisement