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published in Blogs
Dec 25, 2019
Advance Auto Parts(AAP, $160.51) missed earnings and sales estimates in latest quarter

Advance Auto Parts(AAP, $160.51) missed earnings and sales estimates in latest quarter

Advance Auto Parts  posted lower-than-expected second-quarter earnings and sales.

The auto aftermarket parts retailer's adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at $2 a share, which fell short of the $2.22 a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Unadjusted earnings of $1.73 a share, was higher than the year-ago quarter’s $1.59 a share.

Revenue for the quarter was $2.33 billion, lower than analysts' estimate of $2.4 billion. The figure was same as that of the year-ago quarter.

Comparable-store sales were flat.

Looking ahead, Advance Auto Parts  lowered its full-year outlook on net sales to between $9.65 billion and $9.75 billion (from prior guidance of between $9.65 billion and $9.8 billion). The company slashed its comparable same-store sales guidance to between 1% and 2% (from prior range of between 1% and 2.5%).

 

 

Related Ticker: AAP

AAP sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

AAP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on February 20, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AAP moved out of overbought territory on February 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAP as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for AAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAP advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 189 cases where AAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.376) is normal, around the industry mean (2.041). P/E Ratio (44.540) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.752). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.642) is also within normal values, averaging (1.404). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.355) is also within normal values, averaging (6.263).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 7.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 206 to 80.01B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 80.01B. The lowest valued company is JBZY at 206.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. NPSKF experienced the highest price growth at 76%, while SES experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -81%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -95% and the average quarterly volume growth was -92%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -31 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. AAP showed earnings on February 13, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of automotive parts and accessories stores

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
4200 Six Forks Road
Phone
+1 540 362-4911
Employees
69000
Web
https://www.advanceautoparts.com
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