ALGN(+6.32%) vs PAYC(+6.58%): A Comprehensive Comparison for Swing Traders
Comparing ALGN and PAYC: A Deep Dive into Volatility, Price Growth, and Earnings Reports
Compare: Swing Trader for Beginners: Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements (TA&FA) 6.32% for ALGN vs Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) 6.58% for PAYC
A Brief Overview of Swing Trading Strategies
To start, let's briefly touch on the Swing Trading strategies referenced for ALGN and PAYC. The Swing Trader for Beginners: Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements (TA&FA) strategy delivered a return of 6.32% for ALGN, while the Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) approach gave a return of 6.58% for PAYC. Though these strategies have unique characteristics, both apply technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) to navigate market volatility and trends.
The Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements strategy typically involves trading stocks that exhibit periods of low volatility followed by large price movements, whereas Trading in Markets Trending Up strategy generally capitalizes on securities in an upward market trend.
Weekly Price Growth: ALGN vs. PAYC
For the week, ALGN, which operates in the Medical Specialties industry, enjoyed a price increase of 2.56%. In contrast, PAYC, part of the Packaged Software industry, experienced a price drop of 2.34%.
When comparing these numbers to their respective industries, ALGN performed much stronger than its peers with an average weekly price drop of 0.89% in the Medical Specialties sector. PAYC, on the other hand, outperformed its industry, where the average weekly price drop was 1.07%.
Monthly and Quarterly Price Growth: An Industry Perspective
Taking a wider lens, the average monthly and quarterly price growth in the Medical Specialties industry (home to ALGN) was -0.37% and +7.41%, respectively. For the Packaged Software sector (home to PAYC), these figures were +3.70% and a robust +23.99%. The Packaged Software industry, hence, appears to have experienced higher growth over the more extended periods, underlining the importance of considering industry performance when comparing individual stocks.
Upcoming Earnings Reports
As for future expectations, both companies are due to report earnings soon. ALGN is set to announce its earnings on July 26, 2023, while PAYC is expected to report on August 1, 2023. These reports could potentially influence stock prices and should be closely monitored by investors.
In conclusion, while both ALGN and PAYC offer attractive opportunities for swing trading, they do so in distinct market contexts. Traders and investors should bear in mind these differences when devising their strategies and keep a keen eye on the upcoming earnings reports. The ongoing performance of these two companies reaffirms the importance of not only examining individual stocks but also the industries within which they operate.
ALGN's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ALGN entered a downward trend on October 28, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 178 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 178 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALGN as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALGN turned negative on October 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ALGN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ALGN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALGN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALGN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where ALGN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALGN advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ALGN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ALGN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.609) is normal, around the industry mean (22.821). P/E Ratio (55.007) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.945). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.991) is also within normal values, averaging (5.667). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.337) is also within normal values, averaging (42.898).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALGN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of the invisalign system for treating malocclusion
Industry MedicalSpecialties