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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 28, 2022

Altria (MO, $46.54) misses Q3 expectations

Altria reported third quarter earnings that were below analysts’ expectations.

The tobacco company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.28 per share in the quarter vs. $1.30 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue in the quarter was $5.41 billion, missing analysts’ expectations of $5.59 billion.

Looking ahead, Altria narrowed its adjusted earnings per share outlook to a range of $4.81 to $4.89 (vs. prior guidance of $4.79 to $4.93) representing a growth of 4.5% to 6% from 2021.

Altria also announced a strategic partnership with Japan Tobacco to produce smoke-free tobacco products ahead of its earnings release.

"We are excited to begin a new partnership with JT Group, a leading international tobacco company," said Billy Gifford, Altria's CEO. "We believe this relationship can accelerate harm reduction for adult smokers across the globe."

Related Ticker: MO

MO's Stochastic Oscillator sits in overbought zone for 1 day

Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

MO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MO entered a downward trend on November 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MO as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MO just turned positive on November 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where MO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (11.336). P/E Ratio (11.094) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.450). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.018) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.965). Dividend Yield (0.071) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.864) is also within normal values, averaging (2.558).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 30.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.09K to 242.6B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 242.6B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 16.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. SMORF experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while TOBAF experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 36%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 283%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 66
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MO showed earnings on October 30, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
6601 West Broad Street
Phone
+1 804 274-2200
Employees
6400
Web
https://www.altria.com
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