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Sep 27, 2024

Aluminum Construction Companies: A Strong Weekly Surge Driven by Growing Demand

The aluminum construction companies have experienced a significant boost, with the segment seeing a +11.13% increase in performance over the past week. This growth is largely driven by the rising demand for lightweight materials, particularly in the automotive sector, where aluminum is being widely adopted to improve fuel efficiency. The aluminum industry plays a vital role in the U.S. economy, generating approximately $71 billion annually in direct economic impact, according to The Aluminum Association.

The companies in focus—Arconic, Inc. (ARNC), Alcoa Corp (AA), Century Aluminum (CENX), and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)—are some of the major players in the aluminum industry. Let's take a closer look at the key performance indicators, recent market trends, and potential opportunities within this group of stocks.

Market Capitalization Overview

The average market capitalization across this group of aluminum companies stands at $3.8 billion, with Alcoa (AA) leading the group with a market valuation of $10.1 billion. On the lower end, Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) is valued at $1.1 billion. This variance in market cap reflects different market strategies and levels of diversification among these companies, positioning some, like Alcoa, with broader global reach, while others maintain more niche market positions.

Ticker Breakdown:

  • Alcoa Corp (AA) – Market Cap: $10.1 billion
  • Century Aluminum (CENX) – Market Cap: $1.2 billion
  • Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) – Market Cap: $1.1 billion
  • Constellium SE (CSTM) – Market Cap: $3.4 billion

Stock Price Performance

In terms of stock price movement, the aluminum construction group has seen solid performance, with the average weekly price growth sitting at 6.11%, indicating bullish momentum across the segment. Monthly performance also grew by 3.95%, while the group experienced a quarterly decline of -4.78%.

Among the standouts:

  • Alcoa (AA): With a 12.49% weekly surge, Alcoa was the top performer in the group, indicating strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
  • Century Aluminum (CENX): The stock saw a respectable 5.7% weekly rise, adding to its earlier 21.15% jump the previous week, reflecting ongoing momentum in investor interest.
  • Constellium SE (CSTM): This ticker experienced a slight decline of -0.95%, though it still sits near its recent highs, indicating room for recovery.

These price movements indicate a robust sentiment around aluminum stocks, with companies like Alcoa and Century Aluminum riding positive investor waves.

Notable Stock Movements:

  • 9/25/24: Alcoa (AA) jumped +8.27%, continuing its strong upward trend.
  • 9/25/24: Century Aluminum (CENX) gained +5.7%, cementing its weekly gains.
  • 9/18/24: Century Aluminum saw a remarkable +21.15% weekly surge earlier in the month, driving its overall positive trajectory.

Volume Trends

Alongside price gains, the aluminum group has also seen heightened trading activity. Weekly volume growth across the group averaged 23.6%, with significant monthly volume growth at 101.33%. The rise in trading volume suggests increasing market interest in aluminum companies as they benefit from macroeconomic trends such as infrastructure spending and the shift toward greener technologies like electric vehicles (EVs), which are heavy users of aluminum.

Key Volume Movers:

  • Kaiser Aluminum (KALU): This stock saw a record-breaking 328% increase in daily volume on April 26, 2024, significantly above its 65-day volume moving average. Such a spike in trading activity signals growing market attention.

Technical Indicators: Signals of Bullish Momentum

1. Century Aluminum (CENX) in Upward Trend

Century Aluminum (CENX) recently moved above its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2024, indicating a shift from a downward to an upward trend. Historically, this signal has been a strong indicator for future price increases, with a 89% likelihood of continuing upward momentum in similar past instances.

2. Momentum Indicator for Alcoa (AA) Turns Positive

On September 13, 2024, Alcoa's Momentum Indicator moved above zero, signaling the potential for a continued upward trend. Based on historical data from 90 similar instances, 81% of the time, this indicator has preceded further stock price increases, suggesting a buying opportunity for traders.

3. Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Moves Out of Oversold Territory

Kaiser Aluminum's Stochastic Oscillator, a technical indicator used to gauge market conditions, moved out of the oversold territory on September 13, 2024. This shift often precedes bullish price action, with the stock moving higher in 81% of the 59 historical instances where this condition was met.

In Summary: Aluminum Industry Poised for Growth

The aluminum sector is positioned for further gains, bolstered by increasing demand from key industries such as automotive, construction, and packaging. Companies like Alcoa and Century Aluminum are showing particularly strong technical indicators and investor sentiment, while Kaiser Aluminum and Constellium SE also present potential opportunities for growth as volume and technical signals suggest upward movement.

Related Ticker: CENX, AA, KALU

CENX in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 06, 2024

CENX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where CENX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA).

Industry description

Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aluminum Industry is 9.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 138.37K to 54.35B. DKIAF holds the highest valuation in this group at 54.35B. The lowest valued company is NORNQ at 138.37K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. ALMMF experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while CHHQF experienced the biggest fall at 0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -40%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of primary aluminum and aluminum products

Industry Aluminum

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Aluminum
Address
One South Wacker Drive
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+1 312 696-3101
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https://www.centuryaluminum.com
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