Aurora Cannabis (ACB, $5.70) shares drop in pre-market, after analyst downgrade
Shares of Aurora Cannabis fell -4.7% in premarket trading Monday, after a rating downgrade from analyst Stifel Nicolaus .
Stifel Nicolaus lowered his rating on the medical marijuana company’ shares to sell from hold. The analyst also cut his price target to C$5 ($3.78) from C$7 ($5.27.)
Last week, Aurora Cannabis reported quarterly revenue that increased +52% to C$98.9 million ($75 million), but fell short of Wall Street consensus of $78 million. Cannabis sales volumes over the April to June period, nearly doubled from the prior quarter to 17,793 kilograms, but average selling prices dropped -16.8% from the third quarter to C$5.32 per gram on increased supply of lower-yielding recreational marijuana in the domestic market.
Momentum Indicator for ACB turns negative, indicating new downward trend
ACB saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ACB moved below the 200-day moving average on November 18, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ACB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ACB entered a downward trend on December 02, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ACB's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ACB just turned positive on November 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where ACB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ACB advanced for three days, in of 217 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ACB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ACB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.630) is normal, around the industry mean (57.958). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (89.727). ACB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.947). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.122) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.538) is also within normal values, averaging (19.472).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ACB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a licensed producer of medical marijuana in Canada
Industry PharmaceuticalsOther