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published in Blogs
May 24, 2019
Autodesk (ADSK, $163.02 ) slips against Q1 earnings estimates

Autodesk (ADSK, $163.02 ) slips against Q1 earnings estimates

Autodesk missed earnings and revenue estimates for its fiscal first-quarter.

The software maker reported earnings of 45 cents per share for the quarter, falling behind analysts’ expectations of 47 cents per share (based on Refinitiv data).

Revenue of $735.5 million came in lower than estimates of $740 million (based on Refinitiv poll). However, revenue was +31% higher from the year-ago quarter. Autodesk’s revenue from subscription surged +67% to $595.8 million, slightly below the $599.6 million expectation from analysts polled by FactSet.

Looking ahead, the company predicts adjusted earnings per share of 59 cents to 63 cents for the second quarter, compared to 62 cents expected by analysts (based on Refinitiv  poll). It projects revenue of $782 million to $792 million for the quarter, while analysts’ forecast $788.5 million.

For the full fiscal year, Autodesk expects adjusted earnings of $2.71 to $2.90 per share, on $3.25 billion to $3.30 billion in revenue. The Refinitiv consensus expected $2.83 in earnings per share on $3.29 billion in revenue.

 

Related Ticker: ADSK

Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on February 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on March 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADSK moved out of overbought territory on March 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on March 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.083) is normal, around the industry mean (10.736). P/E Ratio (49.902) is within average values for comparable stocks, (74.862). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.018) is also within normal values, averaging (1.944). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.788) is also within normal values, averaging (53.889).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 228.82B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 228.82B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. NMYSF experienced the highest price growth at 260%, while WCT experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -78% and the average quarterly volume growth was -62%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ADSK showed earnings on February 26, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of multimedia software products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Market Street
Phone
+1 415 507-5000
Employees
13700
Web
https://www.autodesk.com
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