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published in Blogs
Mar 26, 2019
Autodesk finds support in the $150 area and generates a bullish signal

Autodesk finds support in the $150 area and generates a bullish signal

Application software firm Autodesk (Nasdaq: ADSK) has been on a bit of roller coaster ride over the last nine months. The stock was down under $130 last July and then bounced up to the $160 area. Then it fell with the overall market in October, bounced again and fell again in December. Since the December low when the stock was under $120, it had bounced back up to above $165 before pulling back in the last few weeks

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Despite the roller coaster ride, it looks like the stock has found support at the $150 level and is hovering just above it currently. The $150 level marked a temporary high in December—between the high from last fall and the recent high.

The stock fell enough in March that the stochastic readings dropped in to oversold territory. They have climbed slightly and are just above oversold territory at this time and the indicators just made a bullish crossover.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Autodesk on March 18. That signal had a confidence level of 67% and it calls for a gain of at least 2% over the next week. Previous predictions on Autodesk have been accurate 70% of the time.

The fundamentals for Autodesk are rather perplexing. The earnings have been flat over the last three years and so have the sales. However, the most recent quarterly report showed an earnings jump of 611% and a sales jump of 33%. The company doesn’t have a return on equity because it had been losing money and that also meant a negative profit margin. The question is whether the company has turned the corner and will now return to profitability in 2019.

 

Related Ticker: ADSK

Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on February 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on March 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on March 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.857) is normal, around the industry mean (10.715). P/E Ratio (49.310) is within average values for comparable stocks, (75.721). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.007) is also within normal values, averaging (1.922). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.692) is also within normal values, averaging (53.501).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 228.82B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 228.82B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. NMYSF experienced the highest price growth at 260%, while CCTC experienced the biggest fall at -63%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 84%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: -20 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ADSK showed earnings on February 26, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of multimedia software products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Market Street
Phone
+1 415 507-5000
Employees
13700
Web
https://www.autodesk.com
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