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Feb 17, 2023
AutoNation (AN, $154.75) beats Q4 earnings expectations

AutoNation (AN, $154.75) beats Q4 earnings expectations

AutoNation posted a historically high fourth-quarter earnings, on the back of  higher prices for cars.

The automotive retail company’s adjusted profit came in at $6.37 a share, exceeding the consensus expectation of $5.83 (based on FactSet poll) The figure is also its highest ever for a fourth quarter.

Revenue climbed +2% from the year-ago quarter to $6.7 billion, thanks to the rise in average selling prices for vehicles, as indicated by the company. The Street consensus was $6.5 billion.

While retail sales of AutoNation’s used-vehicle fell -8% to $2.2 billion, its new-vehicle revenue was up +8% year-over-year to $3.1 billion. The after-sales segment, offering car repair and maintenance, was 7% higher year-over-year.

 

Related Ticker: AN

AN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026

AN moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 59 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AN as a result. In 57 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AN turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.

The 10-day moving average for AN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The 50-day moving average for AN moved below the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator for AN entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 61 cases where AN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +5.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AN advanced for three days, in 226 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

AN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.361) is normal, around the industry mean (2.313). P/E Ratio (7.481) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.786). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.444) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.255) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Industry description

The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Automotive Aftermarket Industry is 5.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.57M to 66.55B. CVNA holds the highest valuation in this group at 66.55B. The lowest valued company is GORV at 1.57M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Automotive Aftermarket Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. KXIN experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while RDNW experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Automotive Aftermarket Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 151% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retaier and a distributer of automobiles

Industry AutomotiveAftermarket

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
200 SW 1st Avenue
Phone
+1 954 769-6000
Employees
24800
Web
https://www.autonation.com
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