Bearish Forecasts in a Volatile Market
The stock market has entered a volatile state. From late January through early April, the S&P 500 has declined more than 10% and many investors are wondering how long the gyrations will last. The truth is, no one really knows.
Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) can help you navigate these choppy waters. Investing in a volatile market is emotional, but A.I. can take the emotion out of the equation and help you make decisions based on data and probabilities — instead of based on gut feelings.
Tickeron’s A.I. has found bearish opportunities in the market as volatility has set-in. Take a look at this prediction it made for Pepsi Co. (PEP) in late January, just as the market started to turn over:
The A.I. noticed a Broadening Top forming in mid-to-late December, and predicted that Pepsi’s stock price would fall from $116 down to around $111. An investor could have taken a short position on Pepsi or sold shares based on the A.I.’s advice — which turned out to be spot-on.
Another A.I. prediction panned out for Bank of America Corporation (BAC). This pattern was more recent, forming from mid-February to mid-March. Tickeron’s A.I. predicted with 42% confidence that BAC would decline through its breakout price down to around $30 a share. Traders who saw the A.I.’s notification (subscribers) could have capitalized on the trade.
How Effective is Tickeron’s A.I.?
Tickeron’s A.I. made accurate predictions about some big names in the stock market. But how often is the A.I. right?
Have a look at this table below to find out. For the Broadening Top (Bearish) pattern, when the A.I. was more than 20% confident that the stock price would decline at least 5%, it was correct 44.25% of the time (2,268 / 5,125). When the A.I. was correct, it delivered an average gain of +12.88% to the investor — a solid metric.
Feeling Bearish in this Market? Start Receiving Notifications of Bearish Patterns from A.I.
The Broadening Top formation generally happens when volatility is high or increasing, and when a stock’s price is moving with high volatility but little or no direction. It indicates growing investor nervousness and indecisiveness. If that’s what you think is happening today in the markets, then following this pattern may be the next move for you.
You can subscribe to Tickeron's Pattern Search Engine for 45 days, absolutely free. In that time, you’ll receive pattern notifications and trade ideas from Tickeron’s A.I. Humans do not have the time or the ability to scan the markets day-in and day-out looking for patterns in stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, and cryptocurrencies. It is simply not possible — unless you get help from algorithms and A.I.
Give Tickeron’s new platform a try to enhance your trading, by using hard data to trade patterns and make investment decisions.
BAC sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
BAC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 13, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BAC as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BAC moved below its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BAC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BAC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BAC advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BAC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 303 cases where BAC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.356) is normal, around the industry mean (1.318). P/E Ratio (14.109) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.136). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.060) is also within normal values, averaging (4.405). BAC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.021) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (3.734) is also within normal values, averaging (3.396).
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