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published in Blogs
Aug 27, 2023

Beginner Swing Trading: 16.25% Growth in Trending MU Market

Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) Generates 16.25% for MU

In the ever-evolving world of finance, swing trading has emerged as a popular strategy for many traders, especially beginners looking to capitalize on short to medium-term price fluctuations. Utilizing both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), traders can potentially yield notable gains in market conditions trending upwards. One such example can be seen with the stock MU.

Recent observations have shown a positive growth trajectory for MU. A notable +0.63% advance was witnessed over a span of 3 days. For traders, this presents an opportunity, as historical data indicates further potential for growth in such scenarios. Delving into past occurrences where MU experienced a 3-day advance, the stock price increased even more in 210 out of 302 observed cases in the subsequent month. This translates to a probability of 70% for the price to continue its upward trajectory.

What does this mean for swing traders? With a calculated approach based on both TA and FA, they could position themselves to benefit from these potential gains. MU's recent performance, coupled with historical data, showcases the potential for a 16.25% gain, making it a stock to watch for those keen on maximizing returns from an upward-trending market.

For swing trading beginners, understanding market trends and leveraging both technical and fundamental analysis can open the door to significant profit opportunities. MU's current trajectory offers a compelling case study of this approach in action.

Related Ticker: MU

MU in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on December 19, 2024

MU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where MU's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MU advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MU as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MU turned negative on December 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MU moved below its 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.126) is normal, around the industry mean (11.467). P/E Ratio (25.582) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.657). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.227) is also within normal values, averaging (3.177). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.447) is also within normal values, averaging (54.092).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 53.35B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.43T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.43T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 23%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. LAES experienced the highest price growth at 84%, while MANZF experienced the biggest fall at -87%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 30 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a manufacturer of advanced semiconductor solutions such as DRAMs, NAND flash memory, CMOS image sensors, other semiconductor components and memory modules

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
8000 South Federal Way
Phone
+1 208 368-4000
Employees
43000
Web
https://www.micron.com
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