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published in Blogs
Nov 05, 2023

Best Energy Stocks to Buy: SM vs. FANG vs. ET - A Comprehensive Analysis

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The energy sector, with its vast expanse of industries and companies, offers a plethora of investment opportunities. Among the myriad of choices, three stocks stand out: SM, FANG, and ET. Let's delve into a detailed financial analysis of these stocks based on the data provided:

Industry Overview:

Both FANG and SM belong to the Oil & Gas Production industry, while ET finds its niche in the Oil & Gas Pipelines industry. These industries, while interconnected, have distinct dynamics and growth trajectories.

Volume Analysis:

The current volume, relative to the 65-day Moving Average, provides insights into the recent trading activity of these stocks:

  • ET: Trading at a volume of 116% relative to its 65-day Moving Average, indicating heightened interest.
  • FANG: At 79%, it's slightly below ET but still showcases a robust trading activity.
  • SM: With a volume of 97%, it's close to its average, suggesting steady trading interest.

Market Capitalization:

Market capitalization offers a snapshot of the company's size and its potential influence in the industry:

  • ET: Leading the pack with a market cap of $41.23B.
  • FANG: Valued at $28.62B, it's a significant player in the Oil & Gas Production industry.
  • SM: With a market cap of $4.81B, it's smaller compared to the other two but still holds its ground.

For context, the average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production industry is $3.81B, and for the Oil & Gas Pipelines industry, it's $8.29B.

Long-Term Analysis:

Using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings, we can gauge the long-term outlook:

  • A green rating (1-33) suggests the stock is undervalued.
  • A grey rating (34-66) indicates fair valuation.
  • A red rating (67-100) means the stock is overvalued.

The FA Score shows how many ratings indicate the stock to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

Short-Term Analysis:

Technical Analysis (TA) indicators provide insights into the short-term outlook:

  • ET: 4 bullish TA indicators, suggesting a positive trend.
  • FANG: Also with 4 bullish TA indicators, it mirrors ET's positive trajectory.
  • SM: 3 bullish TA indicators, slightly trailing behind but still showcasing a positive trend.

If the Odds of Success for each indicator exceed 50%, the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage (51%-90%) indicates a bullish trend, while a red percentage (51%-90%) suggests a bearish trend.

When deciding between SMFANG, and ET, investors should consider both long-term fundamentals and short-term technicals. Currently, both ET and FANG seem to have a slight edge over SM in terms of bullish indicators. However, individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and market conditions should always be factored in before making a decision. As always, diversifying investments and continuous monitoring are key to navigating the dynamic energy market.

Diversification and Risk Management:

In the volatile world of energy stocks, diversification remains a cornerstone strategy for risk mitigation. While ET, FANG, and SM each offer promising prospects, they cater to different segments of the energy sector.

ET, with its stronghold in the Oil & Gas Pipelines industry, provides a unique proposition. Pipelines tend to have more stable revenue streams, often backed by long-term contracts, making them less susceptible to short-term oil price fluctuations. This stability can be a boon for investors seeking consistent returns.

FANG and SM, being part of the Oil & Gas Production industry, are more directly influenced by global oil prices, production levels, and geopolitical events. While this can lead to higher volatility, it also offers the potential for significant gains during bullish oil markets.

Global Energy Dynamics:

The global energy landscape is undergoing a transformation. With increasing emphasis on renewable energy and sustainability, traditional oil and gas companies are diversifying their portfolios. Investors should keep an eye on how ET, FANG, and SM adapt to these changing dynamics. Their investments in research, exploration of alternative energy sources, and strategic partnerships will play a pivotal role in their future growth.

Investing in the energy sector requires a keen understanding of both macroeconomic factors and company-specific fundamentals. While ET offers stability, FANG and SM provide the allure of potentially higher returns, albeit with increased volatility.

It's essential to balance one's portfolio based on individual financial goals and risk appetite. For those looking for a mix of stability and growth, a diversified investment across ET, FANG, and SM might be a prudent approach.

The energy sector, with its complexities and opportunities, remains a fascinating space for investors. Continuous research, staying updated with global trends, and periodic portfolio rebalancing are crucial to harnessing its potential.

Related Ticker: SM, FANG

SM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on April 03, 2025

SM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where SM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where SM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SM advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SM as a result. In of 103 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SM turned negative on April 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SM entered a downward trend on April 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.619) is normal, around the industry mean (4.420). P/E Ratio (7.373) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.144). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.660) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.552) is also within normal values, averaging (161.159).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. VIST experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while TETHF experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 88%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of natural gas and crude oil properties

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
1700 Lincoln Street
Phone
+1 303 861-8140
Employees
544
Web
https://sm-energy.com
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