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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 31, 2022

Big Lots (BIG, $26.98) Q1 earnings missed analysts' expectations

Big Lots posted its quarterly earnings that missed analysts’ expectations.

The retail company’s earnings of  $0.39 came in below analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.10 (RTT News reports).

Revenue fell -15.4% from the year-ago quarter to $1.37 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $1.46 billion.

Big Lots e-commerce revenue (which accounts for more than 7% of sales) registered a +20% year over year surge in  same-day deliveries.

The company management predicts three-year comps to accelerate to positive mid-to-high-single digits in fiscal second quarter.

The management expects its promotional activity to push the second quarter gross margin rate into the low-30's range and the SG&A dollars to be slightly up from the fiscal 2021 figure. Management projects a significant sequential improvement in the fiscal third quarter, with the fiscal fourth quarter predicted to be in line with the year-ago quarter’s figures.

Related Ticker: BIGGQ

Momentum Indicator for BIGGQ turns negative, indicating new downward trend

BIGGQ saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BIGGQ moved out of overbought territory on December 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIGGQ turned negative on December 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

BIGGQ moved below its 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIGGQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BIGGQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for BIGGQ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 27, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIGGQ advanced for three days, in of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 131 cases where BIGGQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BIGGQ's P/B Ratio (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (8.013). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.455). BIGGQ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.817). BIGGQ has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.306).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BIGGQ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIGGQ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NYSE:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Big Lots, Inc. (OTC:BIGGQ).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 89.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 745.42B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 745.42B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. DLTR experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while BIGGQ experienced the biggest fall at -48%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -62%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -70% and the average quarterly volume growth was -48%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: -10 (-100 ... +100)
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an operator of broad line closeout retail stores

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