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published in Blogs
Jul 27, 2020

Big Week for Telecom Equipment Earnings

We are in the heart of the second quarter earnings season and we have already heard from a number of big tech companies. There have been a few positive surprises, but it seems like there have been more negative surprises. At least the reaction from investors has been negative.

Earnings results will continue to roll in this coming week and the telecom equipment industry will be in the spotlight. Corning (GLW) and Juniper Networks (JNPR) are both set to report on Tuesday while Qualcomm (QCOM) is set to report on Wednesday.

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this group and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month. The likelihood of success is 73%. The scorecard shows Corning rated as a “strong buy” while Juniper and Qualcomm both have “buy” ratings. 

The fundamental analysis summary shows both Corning and Juniper are undervalued at this time. Qualcomm is fairly valued. Qualcomm scores better than the others in the Profit Vs. Risk rating while Juniper is poorly rated in that category. Qualcomm has two positive, or green, ratings and no negative ratings. Corning and Juniper each have two positive ratings with one negative rating for each.

The technical analysis screener shows Corning with three positive readings from the AROON Indicator, the MACD, and the Momentum Indicator. The only negative reading is from the Bollinger bands and that rating only shows odds of success at 55% on a move lower.

Juniper shows bullish signals from its MACD and Momentum indicators, but it has bearish signals from its AROON indicator and the Bollinger Bands. Qualcomm shows bullish signals from the Bollinger Bands and the AROON Indicator. There are also bearish signals from the Stochastic indicators and the Momentum indicator.

Looking at the weekly charts, Corning and Qualcomm both show weekly stochastic readings that are in overbought territory. Qualcomm’s readings just made a bearish crossover and past instances of bearish crossovers have been pretty accurate at predicting downturns in the stock. Corning’s stochastic readings just turned higher and are still climbing at this point.

Juniper’s weekly chart shows that the stock is just below its 104-week moving average. The RSI is climbing, but it isn’t in overbought territory. The stochastic indicators made a bullish crossover this week. The readings are just below the 60 level currently, so they have a way to go before they would be in overbought territory.

One area where we see a big difference between the three stocks is in the earnings estimates and the sentiment readings. Corning has seen the consensus estimate for the quarter drop considerably over the last 90 days while the estimates for Juniper and Qualcomm have dropped slightly.

Analysts and short sellers are far more bullish on Qualcomm than they are on the other two. Of the 29 analysts covering Qualcomm, 18 have the stock rated as a “buy”. Corning and Juniper each have a meager five “buy” ratings. If we look at the ratings in terms of the buys as a percentage of the total, Qualcomm’s buy percentage is at 62%. Corning’s buy percentage is only 38.5% and Juniper’s is really low at 23.8%.

The short interest ratios (SIR) for Corning and Juniper are higher than the average stock with readings of 4.5 and 4.0, respectively. The average short interest ratio is in the 3.0 range. We see that Qualcomm’s ratio is well below average at 1.7.

Based on all of the data, the fundamentals, the technical analysis, and the sentiment indicators, it looks like Juniper has the best shot at moving higher after the earnings report. The fundamentals are decent, the stock isn’t overbought, and the sentiment is skewed to the bearish side. From a contrarian perspective, having bearish sentiment is a good thing.

Qualcomm may be the better long-term investment, but investors might be better served waiting for a little dip before entering a new position. Corning’s short-term indicators look good and that’s why it gets the “strong buy” rating from the Tickeron scorecard.

Related Ticker: QCOM

QCOM's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QCOM turned positive on February 12, 2024. Looking at past instances where QCOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 09, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on QCOM as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QCOM advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where QCOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QCOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

QCOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. QCOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.893) is normal, around the industry mean (8.882). P/E Ratio (23.267) is within average values for comparable stocks, (119.969). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.741) is also within normal values, averaging (2.508). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.056) is also within normal values, averaging (11.518).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 41.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.06T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.06T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. QNCCF experienced the highest price growth at 116%, while MANZF experienced the biggest fall at -57%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 69%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TELECOMMUNICATION SECTOR
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QCOMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of wireless communication systems

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Telecommunications Equipment
Address
5775 Morehouse Drive
Phone
+1 858 587-1121
Employees
50000
Web
https://www.qualcomm.com
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QCOM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QCOM has been closely correlated with SWKS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QCOM jumps, then SWKS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To QCOM
1D Price
Change %
QCOM100%
+3.37%
SWKS - QCOM
72%
Closely correlated
+1.45%
TXN - QCOM
63%
Loosely correlated
+2.24%
ADI - QCOM
63%
Loosely correlated
+2.26%
TER - QCOM
62%
Loosely correlated
+2.25%
KLIC - QCOM
62%
Loosely correlated
+2.60%
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