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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 10, 2018

Bitcoin ETFs shot down by SEC. Here's what's next

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially rejected requests to list nine cryptocurrency funds, dealing a blow to the digital currency enthusiasts who lobbied hard for the ETFs.

The decision was not particularly surprising – the SEC has cited concerns about market surveillance and manipulation for as long as they have been dealing with cryptocurrency, encouraging exchanges to minimize the risks investors face in an unregulated market. Hester Peirce, an SEC commissioner, promised a review of the decision, but a reversal remains unlikely.

ProShare Capital Management, GraniteShares Advisors, and Direxion Asset Management sponsored the nine ETFs, whose requests had been pending since December and January and were denied in advance of a hard deadline. According to Bloomberg, all nine funds “sought to use futures contracts to get exposure”; several also “[planned] to short Bitcoin.”

The SEC is under pressure to set standards in what until recently amounted to an investing ‘Wild West.’ Investors who bought-in at $20,000, around the peak of last year’s crypto boom, were certainly not pleased when the market dipped to around $6,000 – the neighborhood in which prices have stayed for most of the year.

While regulatory strides have been made, the threat of manipulation remains omnipresent. Chris Matta, co-founder at Crescent Crypto Asset Management, told Bloomberg that small markets and low volumes on some exchanges increase the odds for manipulation. “That’s [the SEC’s] major concern,” he said. “Without having any sort of regulatory body stepping in and policing people doing that, it’s always a possibility.”

But hope remains for cryptocurrency proponents. Peirce said in an interview that she is not opposed to the idea of a bitcoin ETF. Commenting specifically on a proposed fund run by crypto godheads Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, Peirce said funds “would allow institutions to play a bigger role in the Bitcoin market, which I think would be good for the market and be good for retail investors as well.”

Peirce was the lone vote in favor of the fund, with the other three commissioners voting against it. While the agency declined to comment beyond orders posted after the decision, the documents say that “disapproval does not rest on an evaluation of whether Bitcoin, or blockchain technology more generally, has utility or value as an innovation or an investment.”

Investors will wait and hope for future positive rulings. One ETF from VanEck Associates Corp. and SolidX Partners Inc. still awaits a decision – the SEC postponed the initial ruling until this month and could wait until February to rule. Even if it were approved, that product is not the kind of accessible-to-the-masses fund that some investors are clamoring for, with features like a high minimum share price designed specifically to discourage use for that purpose. Until ETF issuers prove market integrity, verdicts from the SEC will likely remain the same.
 

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Related Ticker: BTC.X

BTC.X in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 90 cases where BTC.X's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 28, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In of 135 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on April 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

BTC.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 436 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.19T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.19T to 1.19T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.19T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.19T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -9%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -15%, and the average quarterly price growth was 74%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at -9%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 56%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 89% and the average quarterly volume growth was 80%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
BTC.XDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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