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published in Blogs
Dec 16, 2021

Blue Bird (BLBD, $16.07) misses fiscal Q4 earnings expectations

Blue Bird’s fiscal fourth quarter earnings fell short of analysts’ expectations by -61.11%.

The maker of school buses reported adjusted earnings of $0.07 for the quarter, compared to an estimate of $0.18. Revenue  was $192.2 million.

Last quarter the company missed on EPS by $0.2, which was followed by a 8.81% drop in the share price the next day.

Blue Bird projects full-year revenue in the range of $750 million to $850 million.

Related Ticker: BLBD

BLBD's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for BLBD moved out of oversold territory on November 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BLBD as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BLBD just turned positive on November 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where BLBD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLBD advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where BLBD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLBD moved below its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLBD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLBD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BLBD entered a downward trend on November 26, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BLBD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.553) is normal, around the industry mean (2.764). P/E Ratio (13.603) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.568). BLBD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.496). BLBD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (1.173) is also within normal values, averaging (144.883).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 16.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 268.78B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 268.78B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. CLEV experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while GP experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 73%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 93% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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BLBD
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BLBD showed earnings on November 24, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of and sells school buses

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
3920 Arkwright Road
Phone
+1 478 822-2801
Employees
1830
Web
https://www.blue-bird.com
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