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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 20, 2019

Boeing (BA, $333.51) gets credit rating downgrade from S&P, on 737 MAX uncertainty

S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on Boeing, due to uncertainty about when the timing of  737 MAX jetliner’s return to service.

S&P downgraded its rating on Boeing to A-minus from A, and also lowered the short-term rating to A-2 from A-1. The rating agency cited uncertainty over when the 737 MAX will return to service, the risk to the supply chain from the planned production halt, and possible long-term impact to Boeing's competitive position as factors behind the downgrade.

In March,  the 737 MAX  was grounded following two fatal crashes. On Monday, Boeing said it would cease production of the 737 MAX in January as the aircraft model’s return to flight faces delays .

S&P indicated that the supply chain for the MAX is global and very complex – something that could potentially make halting and restarting costly and challenging.

S&P said it could boost its rating on Boeing in the next two years if the aircraft manufacturer resumes MAX deliveries and works down the backlog of MAX aircraft built during the grounding.  Boeing would also have to ramp up production to 57 a month, reduce debt used to support liquidity during the grounding, avoid large order cancellations or a substantial loss in share in the narrow-body market, and ensure that the MAX production halt does not materially disrupt the supply chain.

 

 

Related Ticker: BA

BA in +3.97% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 16, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where BA advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where BA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BA as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BA just turned positive on September 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where BA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 36 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BA entered a downward trend on October 16, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.141). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.496). BA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.790). BA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (1.263) is also within normal values, averaging (4.176).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (null:GE), Lockheed Martin Corp (null:LMT), Boeing Company (null:BA), Northrop Grumman Corp (null:NOC), Spirit Aerosystems Holdings (null:SPR), Virgin Galactic Holdings (null:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 14.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 201.01B. GE holds the highest valuation in this group at 201.01B. The lowest valued company is ASDN at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. TGI experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while HWKE experienced the biggest fall at -42%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -81%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of jetliners, aircraft and related products

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Aerospace And Defense
Address
929 Long Bridge Drive
Phone
+1 703 465-3500
Employees
171000
Web
https://www.boeing.com
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