Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Generates 10.05% for BBVA
BBVA, a renowned banking giant, has been demonstrating an upward trend, growing for three consecutive days as of July 18, 2023. This momentum was noticed with a +1.64% uptrend, marking an optimistic phase for the bank. A trajectory of consistent growth over three days is often recognized as a bullish sign, indicating potential future growth.
This surge in BBVA's growth can be attributed to the effective use of the Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) as the primary trading approach. This model, often used by swing traders with a 'long only' strategy, has generated a significant return of 10.05% for BBVA.
Swing trading is an investment strategy that capitalizes on price fluctuations over the short to medium term. The 'long only' strategy is characterized by buying and holding securities with the expectation that they will appreciate over time. In BBVA's context, it seems that this strategy has indeed proven successful.
The Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) integrates technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), aiming to create a comprehensive picture of a company's financial health and its stock's potential trajectory. With this approach, it combines the rigorous number-driven analysis of a company's intrinsic value with an examination of broader market trends.
In the case of BBVA, this methodology has clearly paid off. A look back at BBVA's previous trends where it advanced for three days, it can be observed that in 203 out of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. This implies an impressive probability of 69% for a continued upward trend.
The financial world will undoubtedly be watching BBVA closely in the coming weeks. The numbers speak volumes about the promise this stock holds. The potent combination of swing trading, the 'long only' approach, and the Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) has seemingly set BBVA on a robust growth trajectory. The anticipation now lies in whether BBVA can continue to ride this wave of growth, leveraging its current momentum into sustainable long-term gains.
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBVA advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BBVA moved out of overbought territory on September 27, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BBVA as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BBVA turned negative on October 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
BBVA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BBVA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for BBVA entered a downward trend on October 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.219) is normal, around the industry mean (0.958). P/E Ratio (8.427) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.716) is also within normal values, averaging (2.643). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.936) is also within normal values, averaging (2.460).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BBVA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks