Box (BOX, $16.44) posts lower-than-expected full-year guidance; shares drop -11% in extended trading Monday
Box Inc. beat earnings estimates for the first quarter, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year outlook – leading to its shares plunging -11% during after-hours trading Monday.
The cloud software and file sharing company’s quarterly adjusted loss of -3 cents per share was narrower than analysts’ expectations of a loss of -5 cents (based on Refinitiv consensus estimates).
Revenue of $163 million also came in higher than analysts’ anticipated $161.4 million (based on Refinitiv). Revenue jumped+16% from the year-ago quarter.
However, for the full fiscal year, Box expects revenue in the range of $688 million to $692 million, lagging the average analyst forecast of $702 million (based on Refinitiv). The company indicated that it needs longer timelines to close deals with larger clients - a potential reason behind its relatively lower guidance.
For the second-quarter in particular, Box predicts revenue of $169 million to $170 million, compared to analysts’ expectation of $170.9 million.
BOX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025
BOX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BOX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BOX as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BOX just turned positive on April 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where BOX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where BOX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for BOX moved below the 200-day moving average on April 28, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BOX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BOX entered a downward trend on April 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (30.917). P/E Ratio (42.597) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.025) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.087) is also within normal values, averaging (59.831).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration
Industry PackagedSoftware