Box (BOX, $16.44) posts lower-than-expected full-year guidance; shares drop -11% in extended trading Monday
Box Inc. beat earnings estimates for the first quarter, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year outlook – leading to its shares plunging -11% during after-hours trading Monday.
The cloud software and file sharing company’s quarterly adjusted loss of -3 cents per share was narrower than analysts’ expectations of a loss of -5 cents (based on Refinitiv consensus estimates).
Revenue of $163 million also came in higher than analysts’ anticipated $161.4 million (based on Refinitiv). Revenue jumped+16% from the year-ago quarter.
However, for the full fiscal year, Box expects revenue in the range of $688 million to $692 million, lagging the average analyst forecast of $702 million (based on Refinitiv). The company indicated that it needs longer timelines to close deals with larger clients - a potential reason behind its relatively lower guidance.
For the second-quarter in particular, Box predicts revenue of $169 million to $170 million, compared to analysts’ expectation of $170.9 million.
BOX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on December 04, 2024
BOX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where BOX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where BOX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 248 cases where BOX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BOX moved out of overbought territory on November 27, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 20, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BOX as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BOX turned negative on December 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
BOX moved below its 50-day moving average on December 04, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (31.078). P/E Ratio (42.597) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.025) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.087) is also within normal values, averaging (58.228).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration
Industry PackagedSoftware