Bullish trend for leveraged gold miners ETF looks to continue
The Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 3x Shares (NYSE: NUGT) has been trending higher since September, but the fund has really seen the trend become more apparent since November. After falling sharply in July and August, the fund turned higher in early September, but pulled back again in the last half of October and early November.
The fund hit a low of $11.78 on November 13 and then trended higher through early January, reaching as high as $18.48 on January 3. It then proceeded to dip back down a little to its 50-day moving average and what has become the lower rail of an upward sloped trend channel.
The daily stochastic readings reached oversold territory in January and then turned higher. The fund proceeded to jump nearly 40% from January 18 through the high on January 31. The fund has pulled back again in recent weeks and has moved back down to the lower rail of the channel. The stochastic readings have moved back down to oversold territory as well, but they made a bullish crossover on March 5.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 4 with a confidence level of 84% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Previous predictions have been correct an incredible 99% of the time.
Given the formation on the chart, the confidence level, and the success rate of previous predictions, I look for the fund to resume its upward trend over the next month.
NUGT's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NUGT moved out of overbought territory on April 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NUGT turned negative on April 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NUGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 09, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NUGT as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NUGT moved above its 50-day moving average on April 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NUGT advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NUGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where NUGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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