On Tuesday, Canadian cannabis company Canopy Growth reported fiscal third-quarter revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the company incurred a loss during the period.
The company’s revenue grew +23% year-over-year to a record-setting $152.5 million in the three months ending Dec. 31, 2020.
Canopy Growth’s fiscal third-quarter net loss came in at -C$829 million (-US$651.1 million), from $720 million in the year-ago quarter.
Adjusted earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization for the quarter were -C$68 million vs. - C$97 million a year ago.
Analysts polled by Bloomberg expected revenue of $148.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of -$71.1 million.
Canopy expects to generate positive adjusted EBITDA during the second half of 2022, and 20 per cent adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2024. It projects positive operating cash flow for the full year of 2023, and positive free cash flow for the full year of 2024. The forecasts are based on Canopy’s cost savings strategy, and expectations for compound annual net revenue growth of 40 to 50 per cent between 2022 and 2024.
"We are executing against our cost savings program, with several initiatives already completed and more underway to build a leaner and more agile business," chief financial officer Mike Lee said.
There is a broader rally in Canadian cannabis shares, fueled by hopes for a policy shift in the U.S that would remove pot from the country’s list of Schedule 1 drugs.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CGC declined for three days, in of 384 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CGC moved out of overbought territory on May 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
CGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 30, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CGC as a result. In of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CGC just turned positive on April 30, 2024. Looking at past instances where CGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for CGC moved above the 200-day moving average on April 26, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGC advanced for three days, in of 198 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 116 cases where CGC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.702) is normal, around the industry mean (49.719). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.200). CGC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.115) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.820) is also within normal values, averaging (62.321).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of medical marijuana
Industry PharmaceuticalsOther