Canopy Growth (CGC, $43.87) fiscal Q3 revenue beats analysts’ expectations
On Tuesday, Canadian cannabis company Canopy Growth reported fiscal third-quarter revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the company incurred a loss during the period.
The company’s revenue grew +23% year-over-year to a record-setting $152.5 million in the three months ending Dec. 31, 2020.
Canopy Growth’s fiscal third-quarter net loss came in at -C$829 million (-US$651.1 million), from $720 million in the year-ago quarter.
Adjusted earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization for the quarter were -C$68 million vs. - C$97 million a year ago.
Analysts polled by Bloomberg expected revenue of $148.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of -$71.1 million.
Canopy expects to generate positive adjusted EBITDA during the second half of 2022, and 20 per cent adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2024. It projects positive operating cash flow for the full year of 2023, and positive free cash flow for the full year of 2024. The forecasts are based on Canopy’s cost savings strategy, and expectations for compound annual net revenue growth of 40 to 50 per cent between 2022 and 2024.
"We are executing against our cost savings program, with several initiatives already completed and more underway to build a leaner and more agile business," chief financial officer Mike Lee said.
There is a broader rally in Canadian cannabis shares, fueled by hopes for a policy shift in the U.S that would remove pot from the country’s list of Schedule 1 drugs.
Momentum Indicator for CGC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CGC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 18, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 76 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CGC just turned positive on October 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where CGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CGC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGC advanced for three days, in of 201 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CGC entered a downward trend on October 08, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.702) is normal, around the industry mean (56.825). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (89.935). CGC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.890). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.122) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.820) is also within normal values, averaging (18.882).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a producer of medical marijuana
Industry PharmaceuticalsOther