Carmax (KMX, $60.14) misses fiscal Q3 expectations, amidst high inflation
Carmax third-quarter results fell short of analysts’ expectations, amidst inflationary pressures dampening consumer demand.
The used-car retailer’s earnings fell -85% from a year ago to $0.24 per share in the quarter, missing the $0.70 expectation from Thomson Reuters survey.
Revenue was down -24% year-over-year to $6.51 billion in the quarter, vs. analysts’ expectations of $7.3 billion. Retail used units sold decreased -20.8% to 180,050 in the quarter ending November 30, while same-store used unit sales were down -22.4%. Average selling prices for its used cars were up +1.9% to $28,530.
CarMax CEO Bill Nash indicated that vehicle affordability challenges continued to affect the company’s third quarter unit sales performance amidst widespread inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and low consumer confidence.
"External title data indicates that we gained market share on a year-to-date basis through October, though we've seen some recent loss of share. We are focused on profitable market share gains that can be sustained for the long-term," CarMax stated.
Citing its quarterly performance and market uncertainties, CarMax has suspended share repurchases.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for KMX turns positive, indicating new upward trend
KMX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMX just turned positive on August 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 215 cases where KMX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMX moved out of overbought territory on July 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
KMX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.441) is normal, around the industry mean (3.542). P/E Ratio (38.590) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.190). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.606) is also within normal values, averaging (0.894). KMX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (0.342) is also within normal values, averaging (1.234).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a holding company whose subsidiaries sell and finance used motor vehicles
Industry AutomotiveAftermarket
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