Carmax (KMX, $60.14) misses fiscal Q3 expectations, amidst high inflation
Carmax third-quarter results fell short of analysts’ expectations, amidst inflationary pressures dampening consumer demand.
The used-car retailer’s earnings fell -85% from a year ago to $0.24 per share in the quarter, missing the $0.70 expectation from Thomson Reuters survey.
Revenue was down -24% year-over-year to $6.51 billion in the quarter, vs. analysts’ expectations of $7.3 billion. Retail used units sold decreased -20.8% to 180,050 in the quarter ending November 30, while same-store used unit sales were down -22.4%. Average selling prices for its used cars were up +1.9% to $28,530.
CarMax CEO Bill Nash indicated that vehicle affordability challenges continued to affect the company’s third quarter unit sales performance amidst widespread inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and low consumer confidence.
"External title data indicates that we gained market share on a year-to-date basis through October, though we've seen some recent loss of share. We are focused on profitable market share gains that can be sustained for the long-term," CarMax stated.
Citing its quarterly performance and market uncertainties, CarMax has suspended share repurchases.
Momentum Indicator for KMX turns negative, indicating new downward trend
KMX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 92 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMX moved out of overbought territory on June 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KMX turned negative on June 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
KMX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for KMX moved above the 200-day moving average on June 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 211 cases where KMX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.167) is normal, around the industry mean (3.427). P/E Ratio (31.242) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.359). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.509) is also within normal values, averaging (0.844). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.277) is also within normal values, averaging (1.201).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a holding company whose subsidiaries sell and finance used motor vehicles
Industry AutomotiveAftermarket
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