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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 28, 2019

Carpenter Technology (CRS, $$48.78) disappoints on fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue

Carpenter Technology’s fiscal first quarter earnings and revenue missed analysts’ expectations

The manufacturer of stainless steels and corrosion-resistant alloys reported adjusted earnings of 85 cents per share in the first quarter of fiscal 2020 (ended Sep 30, 2019), which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 89 cents. However, the figure is still higher than the year-ago quarter’s 65 cents per share.

Operating profit in the quarter rose +32.8% to $59.8 million. Operating margin climbed to 10.2% in the quarter, compared to the year-earlier quarter’s 7.9%.

Carpenter’s net sales increased +2.3% year over year to $585.4 million for the quarter, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $593 million. Volumes fell - 5% year-over-year .

Sales from the company’s Specialty Alloys Operations segment increased year-over-year by + 3.3%. The segment sold 60,044 pounds, which is -4.2% lower than the prior-year quarter. Operating profit in this segment increased +53.4% year over year to $81 million, on the back of product mix strength.

Net sales in the Performance Engineered Products’ segment  declined -2.1% year over year for the quarter. The segment sold 3,250 pounds, +19% higher from the year-ago quarter. The segment incurred an operating loss of -$2 million.

Carpenter’s cash and cash equivalents of $25 million at the end of the fiscal first quarter, was higher than the $17 million recorded at the prior-year quarter’s end. Cash from operating activities declined to $0.7 million for the quarter from the year-earlier quarter’s $9.4 million.

Related Ticker: CRS

CRS's RSI Oscillator dives oversold zone

The RSI Indicator for CRS moved into overbought territory on March 10, 2025. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRS advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CRS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 04, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRS as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRS turned negative on March 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CRS moved below its 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CRS entered a downward trend on February 25, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.249) is normal, around the industry mean (6.224). P/E Ratio (34.040) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.337). CRS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.538). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.099) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.175) is also within normal values, averaging (305.129).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CRS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Industry description

The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Metal Fabrication Industry is 1.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 723 to 56.71B. MEKTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 56.71B. The lowest valued company is BDGY at 723.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Metal Fabrication Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. RYBIF experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while SGBX experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Metal Fabrication Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 139%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 83
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of specialty metals

Industry MetalFabrication

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Metal Fabrication
Address
1735 Market Street
Phone
+1 610 208-2000
Employees
4500
Web
https://www.carpentertechnology.com
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