Convenience store business Casey's General Stores is based in the United States and has locations in 16 states in the Midwest and South. On Tuesday, March 7, the company is scheduled to disclose its results forecast, which will give information about how financially the company performed during the previous three months. Recent market indicators, however, indicate that the stock may be destined for a decline.
On February 2, 2023, the Momentum Indicator for Casey's General Stores (CASY) moved below the 0 level. This is a technical indicator that is often used by traders to identify shifts in momentum and potential trend changes. When the Momentum Indicator moves below 0, it can indicate that the stock is shifting into a new downward move.
Traders who follow technical analysis may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options in anticipation of a potential decline. According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a market analysis platform that uses artificial intelligence to predict market trends, there have been 89 similar instances where the Momentum Indicator turned negative for CASY. In 45 of those cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. This gives the odds of a decline at 51%.
It's also important to note that the upcoming earnings forecast for Casey's General Stores could impact the stock's price, regardless of the Momentum Indicator. If the company reports strong earnings, investors may be more likely to buy the stock, even if technical indicators suggest a potential decline.
CASY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where CASY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CASY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CASY advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 315 cases where CASY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CASY as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CASY turned negative on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CASY moved below its 50-day moving average on March 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CASY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CASY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CASY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.959) is normal, around the industry mean (12.561). P/E Ratio (25.056) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.882). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.144) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.809) is also within normal values, averaging (19.514).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of convenience stores and gasoline stations
Industry SpecialtyStores