Chesapeake Energy (CHK, $2.81) Posts Higher-Than-Expected Q4 Production Numbers
Shares of Chesapeake Energy surged nearly 10% last Wednesday after the oil and gas company reported strong production outlook for the fourth-quarter.
CHK’s revised strategy to focus on oil production and to move away from gas finally paid off, after the Oklahoma-based oil producer said that it expects the total production to hover somewhere in-between 462,000 and 464,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day for the December ending fourth-quarter. FactSet consensus expected the production to touch 448,000 BOE per day.
CHK further added that it expects oil production to range between 86,000 to 87,000 barrels (bbls) of oil per day, compared to FactSet consensus of 85,200 bbls per day. According to CHK’s Chief Executive Doug Lawler, divested Utica oil volumes have been completely compensated by oil volume growth in the Powder River Basin and Eagle Ford Shale in the last two months of the year.
Separately, CHK also announced that the company has been successful in reducing its total outstanding debt by roughly $1.8 billion since the end of 2017, and asset sales generated more than $2 billion in net proceeds during 2018. A majority of the asset sale proceeds have been utilized to settle the term loan and senior secured second lien debt.
CHK also added that in-line with the company’s strategy to reduce its capex investment and increase capital efficiency in 2019, it plans to reduce its rig count by 20% to an average of 14 rigs versus 18 rigs currently. Reduction in rig count is expected to improve capital efficiency by 15%-20% from 2018 as total net capital per rig line is likely to decrease.
Shares of CHK have surged almost 30% since touching its one-year low of $1.90 in mid-December.
EXE sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
EXE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 10, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXE moved out of overbought territory on October 09, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXE as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
EXE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for EXE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXE advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
EXE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 255 cases where EXE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.309) is normal, around the industry mean (11.315). P/E Ratio (62.840) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.046). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.480) is also within normal values, averaging (4.114). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.449) is also within normal values, averaging (129.686).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a developer of oil and natural gas properties
Industry OilGasProduction
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