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Feb 28, 2019
Chesapeake Energy (CHK, $2.92) shares surge after reporting estimate crushing Q4 earnings

Chesapeake Energy (CHK, $2.92) shares surge after reporting estimate crushing Q4 earnings

Chesapeake Energy shares surged this week after the company reported estimate-beating Q4 earnings and revenue expectations. Analysts attribute higher natural gas prices for this stunning growth.

CHK’s total Q4 revenue rose to $3.07 billion, a 22% increase versus analyst expectations of $2.28 billion. Oil, natural gas and natural gas equivalent revenue jumped 37% to $1.73 billion versus a consensus estimate of $1.1 billion.

Based on recent trend in oil and gas prices, Chesapeake says its full-year adjusted EBITDA generated the highest per barrel of oil equivalent of $12.81 since 2014, and expects EBITDA generated per barrel of oil equivalent to rise by 12%-15% in 2019.

CHK’s Q4 production stood at 464K boe/day after falling by 7% on a y-o-y basis, while production expenses increased 15% to $2.87/boe. CHK forecasts 2019 oil production to rise ~32% to 116K-122K bbl/day while capex is expected to remain roughly flat at $2.3B-$2.5 billion and cash flow is seen coming in really strong. 

Related Ticker: EXE

EXE's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for EXE entered a downward trend on June 18, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 146 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 146 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXE as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXE turned negative on May 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EXE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 16 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

EXE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. EXE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.065) is normal, around the industry mean (6.948). P/E Ratio (6.472) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.197). EXE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (20.242) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.960). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.463) is also within normal values, averaging (5.537).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 9.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 131.26B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 131.26B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. CKX experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while BATL experienced the biggest fall at -39%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -46 (-100 ... +100)
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Chesapeake Energy (CHK, $2.92) shares surge after reporting estimate crushing Q4 earnings