China Reduces Its US Treasury Holdings
In July, China’s ownership of U.S. Treasuries declined to a six month low.
China’s holdings of U.S. bonds, bills and notes was $1.17 trillion in July – the lowest level since January. In June, it was $1.18 trillion. (According to data released by the Treasury Department on Tuesday). The news comes at a time when trade war between the U.S. and China seems to have only intensified. In the latest round of the 'battle', the U.S. will impose fresh levies on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods on September 24, to which China has responded with its plan to hit $60 billion of U.S. goods with tariffs.
Aroon Indicator for GOVT shows an upward move is likely
GOVT's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 26, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 195 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 195 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on October 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on September 17, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
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