Chipotle (CMG, 431.79) Records its Best Year Since 2013
2018 proved to be a miserable year for the U.S. stock market. Out of the 505 companies in the S&P 500, only 160 managed to post a positive year in 2018 – less than a third.
Amidst such a challenging environment, Chipotle emerged as one of the best stocks of 2018 after its shares soared nearly 50% in 2018 — the stock's best performance since its 80% surge in 2013.
Chipotle’s investors scored big in 2018, thanks to the new CEO of the company, Brian Niccol, who not just helped reinvigorate investor confidence but also helped the stock grow nearly 67% since the announcement of him taking charge in February 2018.
After reaching its peak in August 2015 at $758.61 a share, currently trading at $431 a share, Chipotle’s shares came down the hill at an alarming rate and found it hard to regain customer trust after being hit by a series of foodborne illness outbreaks. But less than a year after taking the helm as CEO, Brian Niccol helped Chipotle regain its customers trust again and brought stability into its operation.
Since taking over, Niccol undertook several technological improvements such as upgrades to the company's mobile app, its internal software and in-restaurant technology – with an aim to remove friction in all aspects of the ordering and making process which would enable faster food delivery to its customers.
His sales growth strategy of building a culture of accountability helped the company bring back customers who had left the brand. His strategy to remind the customers what made them fall in love with Chipotle -- coupled with new marketing campaign -- helped grow same-store sales.
CMG sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
CMG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 09, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 26, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMG as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CMG entered a downward trend on September 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CMG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
CMG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.083) is normal, around the industry mean (6.268). P/E Ratio (35.106) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.710). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.706) is also within normal values, averaging (1.554). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.673) is also within normal values, averaging (8.532).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants
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