Chipotle (CMG, $853.51) gets ratings boost & price target hike from Wedbush, on strong digital prospects and new menu items
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped +1.2% Monday, following a rating upgrade from Wedbush.
Analyst Nick Setyan upgraded his rating of the fast food restaurant chain' shares to outperform from neutral. He also boosted his 12-month stock price target from $780 to $980, the highest target of all the analysts surveyed by FactSet.
Setyan indicated that Chipotle is in a leading position to “enable a multi-year streak of mid- to high single digit SSS growth”, amidst a growing focus on digital transaction sin the industry. The analyst also hopes that new menu items like quesadillas, carne asada and white queso would bolster same-store sales growth for Chipotle.
In July, the chain’s second-quarter results revealed that its digital sales nearly doubled. Digital sales surged +99.1%, and contributed to 18.2% of total sales for the quarter. This was the program’s first full quarter since it began.
Setyan mentioned that loyalty would be a strong, key driver of penetration of Chipotle’s own app among consumers. He said CMG would be “at the top of restaurant apps” in terms of its popularity of usage on handheld devices.
CMG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
CMG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 18, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CMG moved out of overbought territory on December 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMG as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 323 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (23.310) is normal, around the industry mean (10.870). P/E Ratio (57.457) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.545). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.143) is also within normal values, averaging (1.763). CMG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.039). P/S Ratio (7.770) is also within normal values, averaging (8.536).
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General Information
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants