Ciena Corporation (NYSE: CIEN) provides hardware, software, and services for networking systems worldwide. The company has seen its stock trend higher since the fourth quarter of 2017. Over the last 11 months, the stock has been moving higher within a trend channel.
The stock moved above the upper rail of the trend channel in February but pulled back in March and that brought the stock down to the lower rail of the channel. We see on the daily chart that the stock is in oversold territory based on the stochastic readings, but the indicators made a bullish crossover on March 26.
The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Ciena on March 25 and that signal calls for a 4% increase in the price of the stock over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 89%. Previous predictions on the stock have been accurate 80% of the time.
The fundamentals for Ciena show mixed results. Earnings grew by 120% in the most recent earnings report, but they had been declining by an average of 1% per year over the last three years.
Sales jumped by 20% in the most recent quarter and have been growing by an average of 8% per year over the last three years. The company’s return on equity is average at 10.4% and so is the profit margin at 9.2%.
The RSI Oscillator for CIEN moved out of oversold territory on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CIEN as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CIEN just turned positive on April 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where CIEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CIEN advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CIEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CIEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CIEN entered a downward trend on May 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CIEN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.433) is normal, around the industry mean (9.833). P/E Ratio (31.942) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.227). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.728). CIEN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (1.672) is also within normal values, averaging (23.832).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CIEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of communication network equipment, associated software and professional services
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment