Ciena Corp. hit the lower rail of an upward sloped channel and a bullish signal was triggered at the same time
Ciena Corporation (NYSE: CIEN) provides hardware, software, and services for networking systems worldwide. The company has seen its stock trend higher since the fourth quarter of 2017. Over the last 11 months, the stock has been moving higher within a trend channel.
The stock moved above the upper rail of the trend channel in February but pulled back in March and that brought the stock down to the lower rail of the channel. We see on the daily chart that the stock is in oversold territory based on the stochastic readings, but the indicators made a bullish crossover on March 26.
The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Ciena on March 25 and that signal calls for a 4% increase in the price of the stock over the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 89%. Previous predictions on the stock have been accurate 80% of the time.
The fundamentals for Ciena show mixed results. Earnings grew by 120% in the most recent earnings report, but they had been declining by an average of 1% per year over the last three years.
Sales jumped by 20% in the most recent quarter and have been growing by an average of 8% per year over the last three years. The company’s return on equity is average at 10.4% and so is the profit margin at 9.2%.
Aroon Indicator for CIEN shows an upward move is likely
CIEN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 10, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 248 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 248 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CIEN advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CIEN moved out of overbought territory on October 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 22 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CIEN turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CIEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CIEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CIEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.893) is normal, around the industry mean (5.735). P/E Ratio (159.122) is within average values for comparable stocks, (108.677). CIEN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.415). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.995) is also within normal values, averaging (59.810).
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General Information
a provider of communication network equipment, associated software and professional services
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment
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