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Jul 14, 2020
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Citigroup (C, $50.92) posts stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings, on solid trading revenue growth

Citigroup (C, $50.92) posts stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings, on solid trading revenue growth

Citigroup Inc. reported its second quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations, on the back of trading revenues strength.

The bank’s earnings for the three months ending June came in at 50 cents per share, topping the Street consensus forecast of 29 cents per share. However, the figure is down -72.6% from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues rose +5.3% year-over-year to $19.77 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates of  $19.1 billion.

Solid capital markets trading revenues added positively to the results. Fixed income surged +68% to $5.6 billion, and investment banking  rose +37% to $1.8 billion.

Citigroup ‘s credit loss provision as of the end of Q2 was $26.4 billion, up from $12.5 billion at the end of the same period last year. The quarterly credit loss provision total was $7.9 billion.

Credit losses for the quarter were $2.21 billion.

According to Tickeron, C's in Downtrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram crosses below signal line

This is a Bearish indicator signaling C's price could decline. Traders may explore shorting the ticker or looking at put options. In 21 of 43 cases where C's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 49%.

Current price $50.92 crossed the support line at $52.35 and is trading between $52.35 support and $49.84 support lines. Throughout the month of 06/10/20 - 07/13/20, the price experienced a -7% Downtrend, while the week of 07/06/20 - 07/13/20 shows a +0.44% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 19 of 41 cases where C's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 46%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 42 of 57 cases where C's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 13, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 51 of 79 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 30 of 40 similar backtested cases where C's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 255 similar cases where C Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 54%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.28 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. C’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 98, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. C’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 17 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.44) is normal, around the industry mean (2502.58). P/E Ratio (7.24) is within average values for comparable stocks, (362.72). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.10) is also within normal values, averaging (3.50). C has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.40) as compared to the industry average of (0.54). P/S Ratio (0.85) is also within normal values, averaging (19.48).

 

Related Ticker: C

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


C in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

C may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 27 of 33 cases where C's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 58 cases where C's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on C as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for C just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where C's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +2.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where C advanced for three days, in 229 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where C declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator for C entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 20, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.038) is normal, around the industry mean (1.500). P/E Ratio (12.598) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.703). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.612) is also within normal values, averaging (2.139). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. C's P/S Ratio (2.616) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.867).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. C’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 195.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 889.14B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 889.14B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. SAN experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while FRBT experienced the biggest fall at -1%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 4
Profit Risk Rating: 20
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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published General Information

General Information

a financial conglomerate

Industry MajorBanks

Industry
Financial Conglomerates
Address
388 Greenwich Street
Phone
+1 212 559-1000
Employees
226000
Web
https://www.citigroup.com
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