Citizens Financial Group (CFG, $29.38) was a top loser this quarter, falling -29.08%. Expect a Downtrend reversal
Citizens Financial Group (CFG) has had a tough quarter, falling by 29.08% to $29.38 per share, making it one of the top losers in the Regional Banks Industry. However, technical analysis suggests that there may be a downtrend reversal in the near future.
A.I.dvisor analyzed 986 stocks in the Regional Banks Industry and found that 94.44% of them demonstrated a downtrend, indicating a challenging market for the banking sector. Nevertheless, A.I.dvisor identified 142 similar cases to CFG's price drop within a three-month period. In 100 out of those 142 cases, CFG's price went up during the following month, providing some historical evidence for a potential uptick in the stock's performance.
In addition, on April 13, 2023, CFG's Stochastic Oscillator moved out of oversold territory, which may indicate a bullish sign for the stock. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor examined 56 similar instances where the Stochastic Oscillator left the oversold zone and found that in 40 of the 56 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days, providing a 71% probability of a move higher.
In terms of earnings, CFG reported its Q1 2023 financial results on April 12, 2023. The bank reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03, beating analysts' estimates of $0.95. Furthermore, the bank's revenue for the quarter was $1.71 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.66 billion. Despite this positive news, CFG's stock price did not see any significant increase.
One reason for this could be the bank's net interest margin (NIM), which measures the difference between the interest income generated by banks and the amount of interest paid out to their lenders. CFG's NIM declined by five basis points to 2.50%, which could indicate a challenge for the bank's profitability.
While CFG had a challenging quarter, technical analysis suggests that there may be a downtrend reversal in the near future. Additionally, the bank's positive earnings results, although not reflected in its stock price, could provide a foundation for a potential upward trend. However, investors should also be aware of CFG's NIM, which may pose a challenge for the bank's profitability in the coming quarters.
CFG's RSI Oscillator stoops into oversold zone
The RSI Oscillator for CFG moved into overbought territory on October 10, 2025. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CFG advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CFG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where CFG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CFG as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CFG turned negative on September 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CFG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CFG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CFG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.937) is normal, around the industry mean (1.107). P/E Ratio (15.320) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.309). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.781). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.837) is also within normal values, averaging (5.093).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a regional bank
Industry RegionalBanks
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